August 19, 2008

Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Barack Obama leads Republican John McCain in the Evergreen State, according to a poll by SurveyUSA. 51 per cent of respondents in Washington would back the Illinois senator in this year’s United States presidential election, while 44 per cent would vote for the Arizona senator.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Barack Obama leads Republican John McCain in the Evergreen State, according to a poll by SurveyUSA. 51 per cent of respondents in Washington would back the Illinois senator in this year’s United States presidential election, while 44 per cent would vote for the Arizona senator.

In a poll by Rasmussen Reports, Obama holds a 12-point lead over McCain.

In 2004, Democrat John Kerry won Washington’s 11 electoral votes, with 53 per cent of the vote. The last Republican to carry the Evergreen State in a U.S. presidential election was Ronald Reagan in 1984.

U.S. president George W. Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The U.S. presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.

Polling Data

Washington - 2008 U.S. Presidential Election

Contenders: John McCain (R), Barack Obama (D)

	McCain (R)	Obama (D)	Other / Not sure	Date
(10) SurveyUSA	44	51%	5%	Aug. 11-12
(9) Rasmussen Reports	42%	54%	4%	Aug. 6
(8) Elway Research	35%	47%	18%	Jul. 27-31
(7) Strategic Vision	37%	48%	15%	Jul. 25-27
(6) SurveyUSA	39%	55%	6%	Jul. 13-15
(5) Rasmussen Reports	39%	48%	13%	Jul. 9
(4) Strategies 360	39%	47%	14%	Jun. 23-26
(3) SurveyUSA	40%	55%	5%	Jun. 17-19
(2) Rasmussen Reports	35%	53%	12%	Jun. 9
(1) SurveyUSA	36%	52%	12%	May 16-18

(10) SurveyUSA - Telephone interviews with 718 likely voters in Washington, conducted on Aug. 11 and Aug. 12, 2008. Margin of error is 3.7 per cent.
(9) Rasmussen Reports - Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in Washington, conducted on Aug. 6, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(8) Elway Research - Telephone interviews with 405 likely voters in Washington, conducted from Jul. 27 to Jul. 31, 2008. Margin of error is 5 per cent.
(7) Strategic Vision - Telephone interviews with 800 likely voters in Washington, conducted from Jul. 25 to Jul. 27, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
(6) SurveyUSA - Telephone interviews with 666 likely voters in Washington, conducted from Jul. 13 to Jul. 15, 2008. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent.
(5) Rasmussen Reports - Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in Washington, conducted on Jul. 9, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(4) Strategies 360 - Telephone interviews with 1,200 registered voters in Washington, conducted from Jun. 23 to Jun. 26, 2008. Margin of error is 2.8 per cent.
(3) SurveyUSA - Telephone interviews with 532 likely voters in Washington, conducted from Jun. 17 to Jun. 19, 2008. Margin of error is 4.3 per cent.
(2) Rasmussen Reports - Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in Washington, conducted on Jun. 9, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(1) SurveyUSA - Telephone interviews with 600 registered voters in Washington, conducted on May 29, 2008. Margin of error is 4.1 per cent.