Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Uruguayan Left Leads by Seven Points

August 13, 2008

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - The governing alliance of left-leaning parties is gaining public support in Uruguay, according to a poll by Cifra. 42 per cent of respondents would vote for the Progressive Encounter - Broad Front (EP-FA) in the next legislative and presidential elections, up two points since May.

The conservative National Party-Whites (PN-B) is second with 35 per cent, followed by the Red Party (PC) with seven per cent, and the Independent Party (PI) with one per cent.

Tabaré Vázquez—nominee for the EP-FA—won the October 2004 election with 50.45 per cent of the vote, becoming the first Uruguayan president to represent a political organization other than the PC and the PN-B.

The president officially took over in March 2005, and began his government with majorities in the Chamber of Deputies—with 52 lawmakers in the 99-seat lower house—and the Chamber of Senators—with 18 legislators in the 31-seat upper house.

Consecutive presidential re-election is not currently allowed in Uruguay. Former farming and agriculture minister José Mujica—a member of the EP-FA and a former leader of the rebel Tupamaro guerrilla—has been mentioned as a possible presidential candidate.

Last month, Vázquez reiterated that he will not attempt to change the constitution in order to seek a new term, saying, "I will say it for the last time. I will absolutely not run for re-election nor will I head any political list to the Senate."

Polling Data

If the presidential and parliamentary elections took place this Sunday, which party would you vote for?

 

Jul. 2008

May 2008

Progressive Encounter - Broad Front (EP-FA)

42%

40%

National Party-Whites (PN-B)

35%

32%

Red Party (PC)

7%

8%

Independent Party (PI)

1%

--

Blank ballot / Undecided

15%

20%

Source: Cifra
Methodology: Interviews with 1,003 Uruguayan adults, conducted in July 2008. Margin of error is 3.3 per cent.

 

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