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Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
Uruguayan Left Leads by Seven Points
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - The governing alliance of left-leaning parties is gaining public support in Uruguay, according to a poll by Cifra. 42 per cent of respondents would vote for the Progressive Encounter - Broad Front (EP-FA) in the next legislative and presidential elections, up two points since May.
The conservative National Party-Whites (PN-B) is second with 35 per cent, followed by the Red Party (PC) with seven per cent, and the Independent Party (PI) with one per cent.
Tabaré Vázquez—nominee for the EP-FA—won the October 2004 election with 50.45 per cent of the vote, becoming the first Uruguayan president to represent a political organization other than the PC and the PN-B.
The president officially took over in March 2005, and began his government with majorities in the Chamber of Deputies—with 52 lawmakers in the 99-seat lower house—and the Chamber of Senators—with 18 legislators in the 31-seat upper house.
Consecutive presidential re-election is not currently allowed in Uruguay. Former farming and agriculture minister José Mujica—a member of the EP-FA and a former leader of the rebel Tupamaro guerrilla—has been mentioned as a possible presidential candidate.
Last month, Vázquez reiterated that he will not attempt to change the constitution in order to seek a new term, saying, "I will say it for the last time. I will absolutely not run for re-election nor will I head any political list to the Senate."
Polling Data
If the presidential and parliamentary elections took place this Sunday, which party would you vote for?
|
Jul. 2008 |
May 2008 |
|
|
Progressive Encounter - Broad Front (EP-FA) |
42% |
40% |
|
National Party-Whites (PN-B) |
35% |
32% |
|
Red Party (PC) |
7% |
8% |
|
Independent Party (PI) |
1% |
-- |
|
Blank ballot / Undecided |
15% |
20% |
Source: Cifra
Methodology: Interviews with 1,003 Uruguayan adults, conducted in July 2008. Margin of error is 3.3 per cent.
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