Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Tories Overtake Liberals In Canada

June 08, 2004

(CPOD) Jun. 8, 2004 - For the first time since the electoral campaign began, the Conservative party is leading all political organizations in Canada, according to a tracking poll by SES Research and CPAC. 34 per cent of respondents would vote for the Conservatives, while 32 per cent would support the ruling Liberals.

The New Democratic Party (NDP) is third with 20 per cent, followed by the Bloc Québécois with 11 per cent and the Green party with four per cent.

Canadian voters will renew the House of Commons on Jun. 28. The Liberal party achieved three straight majority governments under Jean Chrétien in 1993, 1997 and 2000. Current prime minister Paul Martin leads the ruling political organization into a federal election for the first time.

Yesterday, Martin criticized Conservative leader Stephen Harper for his stance on abortion. The prime minister stated that he would never "allow the rights of women to be removed by going back to the past." NDP leader Jack Layton said the Conservatives hold "intolerant, extreme views" on issues such as abortion and same-sex marriage. Harper claimed his party would "fill the legal void by enacting a federal definition of marriage."

Polling Data

If a federal election were held today, could you please rank your top two current local voting preferences?
(Top preference listed)

Jun. 4-Jun. 6

Jun. 1-Jun. 3

Conservative

34%

34%

Liberal

32%

37%

New Democratic Party

20%

17%

Bloc Québécois

11%

9%

Green

4%

3%

Source: SES Research / CPAC
Methodology: Interviews to 600 Canadian voters, conducted from Jun. 4 to Jun. 6, 2004 (200 interviews conducted each day). Margin of error is 4.1 per cent. Percentages may not add up to 100 due to rounding.

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