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Tories, Grits Dead Even in Canada

April 27, 2009

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Canada’s main federal political parties are tied, according to a poll by Angus Reid Strategies released by the Toronto Star. 33 per cent of respondents would vote for the governing Conservative party, while 33 per cent would support the opposition Liberal party.

The New Democratic Party (NDP) is third with 15 per cent, followed by the Bloc Québécois with 10 per cent, and the Green party with six per cent.

Canadians renewed the House of Commons in October 2008. The Conservative party—led by Stephen Harper—received 37.6 per cent of the vote, and secured 143 seats in the 308-member lower house. Harper assembled a minority administration. The Tories also earned a minority mandate after the 2006 election, ending more than 12 years of government by the Liberal party.

In late January, Canadian finance minister Jim Flaherty presented the federal budget, which predicts a $70 billion U.S. budget deficit over the next five years, and includes a $33 billion U.S. economic stimulus package, as well as tax relief aimed at the lower and middle class.

On Apr. 22, Liberal leader Michael Ignatieff outlined his views on the environment, saying, "Canada can’t afford to wait for our environmental policy to be determined outside our borders. As our neighbours and trading partners set their own environmental agendas, Canada’s inaction at this time has far-reaching implications, putting our cross-border trade and future competitiveness at risk."

Polling Data

If a federal election were held tomorrow, which one of the following parties would you be most likely to support in your constituency?

 

Apr. 22

Mar. 11

Jan. 27

Jan. 15

Conservative

33%

35%

38%

39%

Liberal

33%

31%

29%

30%

New Democratic Party

15%

16%

18%

17%

Bloc Québécois

10%

10%

8%

9%

Green

6%

7%

6%

5%

Other

2%

1%

1%

1%

Source: Angus Reid Strategies / Toronto Star
Methodology: Online interviews with 1,002 Canadian adults, conducted on Apr. 21 and Apr. 22, 2009. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

Complete Poll (PDF)