Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Tories Closer To Liberals In Canada20050215

February 15, 2005

(Angus Reid Consultants - CPOD Global Scan) - The Liberal party lost some support this month in Canada, according to a poll by SES Research. 38 per cent of respondents would vote for the Liberals in the next federal election, a three per cent drop since November.

Liberal leader Paul Martin took over as Canada's prime minister in December 2003. In the June 2004 election, the Liberals secured a minority government with 135 seats in the House of Commons.

The Conservative party is second with 29 per cent—a three per cent increase in four months—followed by the New Democratic Party with 17 per cent, the Bloc Québécois with 11 per cent and the Green party with five per cent.

The House of Commons is expected to hold a vote on the legalization of same-sex marriage in the next few weeks. According to published accounts, Conservative leader Stephen Harper has requested his party's parliamentarians to vet their speeches with his office. Most of the 98 Conservatives in Canada's lower house oppose the same-sex marriage bill introduced by the governing Liberals.

Polling Data

What party would you vote for in the next federal election?
(Decided voters only)

Feb. 2005

Nov. 2004

Liberal

38%

41%

Conservative

29%

26%

New Democratic Party

17%

17%

Bloc Québécois

11%

11%

Green

5%

6%

Source: SES Research
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 1,000 Canadian adults, conducted from Jan. 28 to Feb. 2, 2005. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.

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