Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Texas (D): Hillary 51.1%, Obama 48.9%

March 04, 2008

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton holds a slight edge in Texas, according to a review of the last six publicly released voting intention surveys. 51.1 per cent of decided voters in the Lone Star State would back the New York senator in today’s United States presidential primary, while 48.9 per cent would support Illinois senator Barack Obama.

In the Republican Party contest, Arizona senator John McCain surpasses the 50 per cent mark in the last six surveys, followed by former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee and Texas congressman Ron Paul.

Polling Data

U.S. Presidential Election 2008 - Texas Primary

Democratic Party

Contenders (in alphabetical order): Hillary Rodham Clinton, Barack Obama

 

Clinton

Obama

ARGM Poll of Polls

51.1%

48.9%

(29) Zogby International / Reuters 47% 44%
(28) Public Strategies Inc. 46% 45%
(27) Rasmussen Reports 47% 48%
(26) Insider Advantage 49% 44%
(25) Public Policy Polling 50% 44%
(24) SurveyUSA 48% 49%
(23) Zogby International / Reuters 44% 47%
(22) Public Strategies Inc. 46% 46%
(21) Zogby International / Reuters 43% 47%
(20) American Research Group 47% 47%
(19) Mason-Dixon 45% 46%
(18) Zogby International / Reuters 43% 45%
(17) Public Strategies Inc. 45% 46%

(16) Zogby International / Reuters

42%

48%

(15) Opinion Dynamics / Fox News

45%

48%

(14) Rasmussen Reports

44%

48%

(13) Insider Advantage

47%

43%

(12) Public Strategies Inc.

45%

46%

(11) SurveyUSA

45%

49%

(10) American Research Group

42%

50%

(9) Opinion Research Corporation

46%

50%

(8) Rasmussen Reports

46%

45%

(7) TNS / Wash. Post / ABC

48%

47%

(6) Rasmussen Reports

47%

44%

(5) Survey USA

50%

45%

(4) Opinion Research Corporation

50%

48%

(3) Rasmussen Reports

54%

38%

(2) Insider Advantage

48%

41%

(1) Public Opinion Strategies

49%

41%

(29) Zogby International / Reuters (855 likely Democratic primary voters, Mar. 1-Mar. 3, 2008, 3.4 MofE)
(28) Public Strategies Inc. (728 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 29-Mar. 2, 2008, 3.6 MofE)
(27) Insider Advantage (609 likely Democratic primary voters, Mar. 2, 2008, 3.8 MofE)
(26) Rasmussen Reports (710 likely Democratic primary voters, Mar. 2, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(25) Public Policy Polling (755 likely Democratic primary voters, Mar. 1-2, 2008, 3.6 MofE)
(24) SurveyUSA (840 likely Democratic primary voters, Mar. 1-2, 2008, 3.5 MofE)
(23) Zogby International / Reuters (748 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 29-Mar. 2, 2008, 3.7 MofE)
(22) Public Strategies Inc. (730 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 28-Mar. 1, 2008, 3.7 MofE)
(21) Zogby International / Reuters (736 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 28-Mar. 1, 2008, 3.7 MofE)
(20) American Research Group (600 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 29-Mar. 1, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
(19) Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. (625 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 27-29, 2008, 3.7 MofE)
(18) Zogby International / Reuters (708 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 27-29, 2008, 3.8 MofE)
(17) Public Strategies Inc. (721 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 26-28, 2008, 3.7 MofE)
(16) Zogby International / Reuters (704 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 26-28, 2008, 3.8 MofE)
(15) Opinion Dynamics / Fox News (600 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 26-28, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(14) Rasmussen Reports (503 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 27, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
(13) Insider Advantage (591 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 25-27, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(12) Public Strategies Inc. (735 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 23-24, 2008, 3.6 MofE)
(11) SurveyUSA (704 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 23-25, 2008, 3.8 MofE)
(10) American Research Group (600 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 23-24, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(9) Opinion Research Corporation (861 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 22-24, 2008, 3.5 MofE)
(8) Rasmussen Reports (646 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 24, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(7) TNS / Washington Post / ABC News (603 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 16-20, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(6) Rasmussen Reports (549 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 20, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(5) Survey USA (660 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 16-18, 2008, 3.9 MofE)
(4) Opinion Research Corporation (529 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 15-17, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(3) Rasmussen Reports (577 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 14, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(2) Insider Advantage (403 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 14, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(1) Public Opinion Strategies (400 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 11-13, 2008, 4.9 MofE)

Republican Party

Contenders (in alphabetical order): Mike Huckabee, John McCain, Ron Paul.

 

Huckabee

McCain

Paul

(20) Zogby International / Reuters 29% 57% 6%
(19) Public Strategies Inc. 35% 55% 5%
(18) Public Policy Polling 38% 50% 6%
(17) SurveyUSA 36% 53% 5%
(16) Zogby International / Reuters 33% 53% 6%
(15) Public Strategies Inc. 31% 56% 6%
(14) Zogby International / Reuters 36% 54% 4% 
(13) American Research Group 26% 61% 9%
(12) Zogby International / Reuters 31% 54% 7%
(11) Public Strategies Inc. 27% 59% 6%

(10) Zogby International / Reuters

27%

53%

11%

(9) Rasmussen Reports

34%

54%

7%

(8) Public Strategies Inc.

27%

59%

6%

(7) American Research Group

41%

45%

10%

(6) Opinion Research Corporation

31%

56%

9%

(5) Rasmussen Reports

37%

46%

8%

(4) Survey USA

37%

50%

7%

(3) Opinion Research Corporation

32%

55%

11%

(2) Rasmussen Reports

37%

45%

7%

(1) Public Opinion Strategies

41%

45%

6%

(20) Zogby International / Reuters (704 likely Republican primary voters, Mar. 1-Mar. 3, 2008, 3.8 MofE)
(19) Public Strategies Inc. (472 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 29-Mar. 2, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
(18) Public Policy Polling (643 likely Republican primary voters, Mar. 1-2, 2008, 3.9 MofE)
(17) SurveyUSA (466 likely Republican primary voters, Mar. 1-2, 2008, 4.6 MofE)
(16) Zogby International / Reuters (628 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 29-Mar. 2, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(15) Public Strategies Inc. (470 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 28-Mar. 1, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
(14) Zogby International / Reuters (608 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 28-Mar. 1, 2008, 4.1 MofE)
(13) American Research Group (600 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 29-Mar. 1, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
(12) Zogby International / Reuters (596 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 27-29, 2008, 4.1 MofE)
(11) Public Strategies Inc. (479 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 26-28, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
(10) Zogby International / Reuters (605 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 26-28, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(9) Rasmussen Reports (530 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 27, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
(8) Public Strategies Inc. (465 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 23-24, 2008, 4.6 MofE)
(7) American Research Group (600 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 23-24, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(6) Opinion Research Corporation (751 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 22-24, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(5) Rasmussen Reports (762 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 20, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(4) Survey USA (505 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 16-18, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
(3) Opinion Research Corporation (553 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 15-17, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(2) Rasmussen Reports (796 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 14, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(1) Public Opinion Strategies (400 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 11-13, 2008, 4.9 MofE)

 

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