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Texas (D): Hillary 51.1%, Obama 48.9%

March 04, 2008

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton holds a slight edge in Texas, according to a review of the last six publicly released voting intention surveys. 51.1 per cent of decided voters in the Lone Star State would back the New York senator in today’s United States presidential primary, while 48.9 per cent would support Illinois senator Barack Obama.

In the Republican Party contest, Arizona senator John McCain surpasses the 50 per cent mark in the last six surveys, followed by former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee and Texas congressman Ron Paul.

Polling Data

U.S. Presidential Election 2008 - Texas Primary

Democratic Party

Contenders (in alphabetical order): Hillary Rodham Clinton, Barack Obama

	Clinton	Obama
ARGM Poll of Polls	51.1%	48.9%
(29) Zogby International / Reuters	47%	44%
(28) Public Strategies Inc.	46%	45%
(27) Rasmussen Reports	47%	48%
(26) Insider Advantage	49%	44%
(25) Public Policy Polling	50%	44%
(24) SurveyUSA	48%	49%
(23) Zogby International / Reuters	44%	47%
(22) Public Strategies Inc.	46%	46%
(21) Zogby International / Reuters	43%	47%
(20) American Research Group	47%	47%
(19) Mason-Dixon	45%	46%
(18) Zogby International / Reuters	43%	45%
(17) Public Strategies Inc.	45%	46%
(16) Zogby International / Reuters	42%	48%
(15) Opinion Dynamics / Fox News	45%	48%
(14) Rasmussen Reports	44%	48%
(13) Insider Advantage	47%	43%
(12) Public Strategies Inc.	45%	46%
(11) SurveyUSA	45%	49%
(10) American Research Group	42%	50%
(9) Opinion Research Corporation	46%	50%
(8) Rasmussen Reports	46%	45%
(7) TNS / Wash. Post / ABC	48%	47%
(6) Rasmussen Reports	47%	44%
(5) Survey USA	50%	45%
(4) Opinion Research Corporation	50%	48%
(3) Rasmussen Reports	54%	38%
(2) Insider Advantage	48%	41%
(1) Public Opinion Strategies	49%	41%

(29) Zogby International / Reuters (855 likely Democratic primary voters, Mar. 1-Mar. 3, 2008, 3.4 MofE)
(28) Public Strategies Inc. (728 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 29-Mar. 2, 2008, 3.6 MofE)
(27) Insider Advantage (609 likely Democratic primary voters, Mar. 2, 2008, 3.8 MofE)
(26) Rasmussen Reports (710 likely Democratic primary voters, Mar. 2, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(25) Public Policy Polling (755 likely Democratic primary voters, Mar. 1-2, 2008, 3.6 MofE)
(24) SurveyUSA (840 likely Democratic primary voters, Mar. 1-2, 2008, 3.5 MofE)
(23) Zogby International / Reuters (748 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 29-Mar. 2, 2008, 3.7 MofE)
(22) Public Strategies Inc. (730 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 28-Mar. 1, 2008, 3.7 MofE)
(21) Zogby International / Reuters (736 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 28-Mar. 1, 2008, 3.7 MofE)
(20) American Research Group (600 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 29-Mar. 1, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
(19) Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. (625 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 27-29, 2008, 3.7 MofE)
(18) Zogby International / Reuters (708 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 27-29, 2008, 3.8 MofE)
(17) Public Strategies Inc. (721 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 26-28, 2008, 3.7 MofE)
(16) Zogby International / Reuters (704 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 26-28, 2008, 3.8 MofE)
(15) Opinion Dynamics / Fox News (600 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 26-28, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(14) Rasmussen Reports (503 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 27, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
(13) Insider Advantage (591 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 25-27, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(12) Public Strategies Inc. (735 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 23-24, 2008, 3.6 MofE)
(11) SurveyUSA (704 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 23-25, 2008, 3.8 MofE)
(10) American Research Group (600 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 23-24, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(9) Opinion Research Corporation (861 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 22-24, 2008, 3.5 MofE)
(8) Rasmussen Reports (646 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 24, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(7) TNS / Washington Post / ABC News (603 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 16-20, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(6) Rasmussen Reports (549 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 20, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(5) Survey USA (660 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 16-18, 2008, 3.9 MofE)
(4) Opinion Research Corporation (529 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 15-17, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(3) Rasmussen Reports (577 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 14, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(2) Insider Advantage (403 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 14, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(1) Public Opinion Strategies (400 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 11-13, 2008, 4.9 MofE)

Republican Party

Contenders (in alphabetical order): Mike Huckabee, John McCain, Ron Paul.

	Huckabee	McCain	Paul
(20) Zogby International / Reuters	29%	57%	6%
(19) Public Strategies Inc.	35%	55%	5%
(18) Public Policy Polling	38%	50%	6%
(17) SurveyUSA	36%	53%	5%
(16) Zogby International / Reuters	33%	53%	6%
(15) Public Strategies Inc.	31%	56%	6%
(14) Zogby International / Reuters	36%	54%	4%
(13) American Research Group	26%	61%	9%
(12) Zogby International / Reuters	31%	54%	7%
(11) Public Strategies Inc.	27%	59%	6%
(10) Zogby International / Reuters	27%	53%	11%
(9) Rasmussen Reports	34%	54%	7%
(8) Public Strategies Inc.	27%	59%	6%
(7) American Research Group	41%	45%	10%
(6) Opinion Research Corporation	31%	56%	9%
(5) Rasmussen Reports	37%	46%	8%
(4) Survey USA	37%	50%	7%
(3) Opinion Research Corporation	32%	55%	11%
(2) Rasmussen Reports	37%	45%	7%
(1) Public Opinion Strategies	41%	45%	6%

(20) Zogby International / Reuters (704 likely Republican primary voters, Mar. 1-Mar. 3, 2008, 3.8 MofE)
(19) Public Strategies Inc. (472 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 29-Mar. 2, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
(18) Public Policy Polling (643 likely Republican primary voters, Mar. 1-2, 2008, 3.9 MofE)
(17) SurveyUSA (466 likely Republican primary voters, Mar. 1-2, 2008, 4.6 MofE)
(16) Zogby International / Reuters (628 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 29-Mar. 2, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(15) Public Strategies Inc. (470 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 28-Mar. 1, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
(14) Zogby International / Reuters (608 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 28-Mar. 1, 2008, 4.1 MofE)
(13) American Research Group (600 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 29-Mar. 1, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
(12) Zogby International / Reuters (596 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 27-29, 2008, 4.1 MofE)
(11) Public Strategies Inc. (479 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 26-28, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
(10) Zogby International / Reuters (605 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 26-28, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(9) Rasmussen Reports (530 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 27, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
(8) Public Strategies Inc. (465 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 23-24, 2008, 4.6 MofE)
(7) American Research Group (600 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 23-24, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(6) Opinion Research Corporation (751 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 22-24, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(5) Rasmussen Reports (762 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 20, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(4) Survey USA (505 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 16-18, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
(3) Opinion Research Corporation (553 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 15-17, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(2) Rasmussen Reports (796 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 14, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(1) Public Opinion Strategies (400 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 11-13, 2008, 4.9 MofE)