February 05, 2008

Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Voting intention surveys conducted in the Volunteer State place John McCain with a slight advantage in today’s United States presidential primary.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Voting intention surveys conducted in the Volunteer State place John McCain with a slight advantage in today’s United States presidential primary.

The Arizona senator is in first place in three polls, with the support of roughly a third of respondents. In the survey by Insider Advantage, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee is second with 30 per cent. In the study by Rasmussen Reports, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney is second with 29 per cent. Support is lower for Texas congressman Ron Paul.

Among Democratic Party voters, New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton is ahead of Illinois senator Barack Obama in the three surveys, with the support of at least 49 per cent of respondents.

In all, 21 states will hold Republican primaries or caucuses today, choosing 41 per cent of all delegates. The Democratic primaries or caucuses will be held in 22 states, American Samoa and "Democrats Abroad", choosing 52 per cent of all pledged delegates.

Polling Data

U.S. Presidential Election 2008 - Tennessee Primary

Republican Party

Contenders (in alphabetical order): Mike Huckabee, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney.

Tennessee

	Huckabee	McCain	Paul	Romney
(3) Insider Advantage	30%	32%	6%	22%
(2) Rasmussen Reports	23%	32%	8%	29%
(1) Insider Advantage	25%	33%	9%	18%

(3) Insider Advantage (474 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 2, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(2) Rasmussen Reports (531 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 30, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(1) Insider Advantage (375 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 30, 2008, 5.0 MofE)

Democratic Party

Contenders (in alphabetical order): Hillary Rodham Clinton, Barack Obama

Tennessee

	Clinton	Obama
(3) Insider Advantage	55%	35%
(2) Rasmussen Reports	49%	35%
(1) Insider Advantage	59%	26%

(3) Insider Advantage (485 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 2, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(2) Rasmussen Reports (448 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 30, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(1) Insider Advantage (463 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 30, 2008, 4.7 MofE)