Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Ten-Point Lead for U.S. Democrats in 2008

August 12, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Many adults in the United States would support the Democratic Party in the 2008 congressional ballot, according to a poll by Rasmussen Reports. 47 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democrats in next year's election.

Conversely, 37 per cent of respondents would back Republican Party candidates, six per cent would support a third party, and 10 per cent are undecided.

American voters renewed the House of Representatives and one-third of the Senate in November 2006. In January, the Democratic Party took control of the lower house for the first time since 1994, with 233 lawmakers. A victory for the Democratic candidates for the Senate in Montana and Virginia also gave the party a majority in the upper house. Democratic California congresswoman Nancy Pelosi became the first female speaker of the House.

On Aug. 10, U.S. president George W. Bush discussed his views on immigration reform, saying, "Although the Congress has not addressed our broken immigration system by passing comprehensive reform legislation, my administration will continue to take every possible step to build upon the progress already made in strengthening our borders, enforcing our worksite laws, keeping our economy well-supplied with vital workers, and helping new Americans learn English."

Earlier this year, the U.S. Senate discussed and rejected a revised immigration bill, which would have allowed illegal immigrants to come forward and obtain a "Z visa." After paying fees, a $5,000 U.S. fine and then returning to their home countries, they could apply for permanent residency, which could be granted in eight to 13 years. The bill also included a proposal to introduce a points system that would prioritize access to the U.S. for skilled and educated immigrants, as well as new family-reunification guidelines.

Polling Data

Generic Congressional Ballot

Aug. 2

Jul. 17

Jun. 21

Democratic Party

47%

46%

46%

Republican Party

37%

37%

34%

Third Party

6%

4%

6%

Not sure

10%

13%

14%

Source: Rasmussen Reports
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 800 likely American voters, conducted on Aug. 1 and Aug. 2, 2007. Margin of error is 4 per cent.

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