Issue Watch
Track global public opinion on current issues.
- 2008: Race for the White House
- 2008: The U.S. Electoral College
- Abortion
- Africa
- Angela Merkel
- Death Penalty
- Economy and Globalization
- Environment
- European Union
- George W. Bush
- Global Warming
- Gordon Brown
- Hamas
- Immigration
- Iran
- Iraq War
- Israel Election 2009
- Kevin Rudd
- Latin America
- Nicolas Sarkozy
- North Korea
- Oil and Gas
- Same-Sex Marriage
- Silvio Berlusconi
- Stem Cell Research
- Stephen Harper
- Taro Aso
- Terrorism
- Vladimir Putin
Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
Super Tuesday (R): McCain Ahead in Eight States
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Arizona senator John McCain heads to Super Tuesday as the favourite in eight states, according to a review of the latest voting intention polls conducted after the race for the Republican Party’s United States presidential nomination became a four-person contest.
Along with McCain, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, and Texas congressman Ron Paul are still contending.
The surveys give McCain the upper hand in the states of Alabama, Arizona, Connecticut, Illinois, Missouri, New Jersey, New York and Tennessee, while a majority of respondents in Massachusetts will vote for Romney. There is no clear frontrunner in California, Georgia and Tennessee.
All of these polls were conducted after the withdrawal of former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani from the U.S. presidential contest.
In all, 21 states will hold Republican primaries or caucuses on Feb. 5, choosing 41 per cent of all delegates.
Polling Data
U.S. Presidential Election 2008 - Super Tuesday Primaries
Contenders (in alphabetical order): Mike Huckabee (MH), John McCain (JM), Ron Paul (RP), Mitt Romney (MR).
Alabama
|
Huckabee |
McCain |
Paul |
Romney |
|
|
(2) Rasmussen Reports - AL |
30% |
38% |
5% |
20% |
|
(1) SurveyUSA - AL |
31% |
40% |
5% |
21% |
(2) Rasmussen Reports - AL (890 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(1) SurveyUSA - AL (629 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
Arizona
|
Huckabee |
McCain |
Paul |
Romney |
|
|
(1) Rasmussen Reports - AZ |
9% |
43% |
7% |
34% |
(1) Rasmussen Reports - AZ (612 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
California
|
Huckabee |
McCain |
Paul |
Romney |
|
|
(4) Zogby Internacional - CA |
12% |
34% |
5% |
37% |
|
(3) Rasmussen Reports - CA |
10% |
38% |
6% |
38% |
|
(2) Mason-Dixon - CA |
13% |
40% |
3% |
31% |
|
(1) Field - CA |
13% |
32% |
10% |
24% |
(4) Zogby International - CA (1,185 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.2, 2008, 2.9 MofE)
(3) Rasmussen Reports - CA (693 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 2, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(2) Mason-Dixon - CA (400 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.1,, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(1) Field - CA (481 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 25-Feb. 1, 2008, 4.6 MofE - Rudy Giuliani voters were re-interviewed after Giuliani withdrew from the race)
Connecticut
|
Huckabee |
McCain |
Paul |
Romney |
|
|
(1) SurveyUSA - CT |
6% |
53% |
5% |
31% |
(1) SurveyUSA - CT (426 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 30-31, 2008, 4.8 MofE)
Georgia
|
Huckabee |
McCain |
Paul |
Romney |
|
|
(4) Rasmussen Reports - GA |
28% |
31% |
6% |
29% |
|
(3) Insider Advantage - GA |
28% |
29% |
2% |
30% |
|
(2) Mason-Dixon - GA |
18% |
33% |
4% |
27% |
|
(1) Insider Advantage - GA |
24% |
35% |
5% |
24% |
(4) Rasmussen Reports - GA (783 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 2, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(3) Insider Advantage - GA (388 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 2, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(2) Mason-Dixon - GA (400 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.1,, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(1) Insider Advantage - GA (362 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 30, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
Illinois
|
Huckabee |
McCain |
Paul |
Romney |
|
|
(1) Chicago Tribune / WGN - IL |
15% |
43% |
4% |
20% |
(1) Chicago Tribune / WGN - IL (500 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 30-Jan. 31, 2008, 4.4 MofE)
Massachusetts
|
Huckabee |
McCain |
Paul |
Romney |
|
|
(1) SurveyUSA - MA |
3% |
34% |
3% |
57% |
(1) SurveyUSA - MA (297 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 30, 2008, 5.7 MofE)
Missouri
|
Huckabee |
McCain |
Paul |
Romney |
|
|
(4) Zogby International - MO |
27% |
36% |
4% |
22% |
|
(3) Mason-Dixon - MO |
27% |
37% |
1% |
24% |
|
(2) Rasmussen Reports - MO |
29% |
32% |
5% |
28% |
|
(1) SurveyUSA - MO |
28% |
34% |
5% |
30% |
(4) Zogby International - MO (868 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.2, 2008, 3.4 MofE)
(3) Mason-Dixon - MO (400 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.1,, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(2) Rasmussen Reports - MO (593 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(1) SurveyUSA - MO (505 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 30-31, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
New Jersey
|
Huckabee |
McCain |
Paul |
Romney |
|
|
(5) Zogby International - NJ |
6% |
54% |
4% |
23% |
|
(4) Monmouth University - NJ |
7% |
55% |
3% |
23% |
|
(3) Mason-Dixon - NJ |
5% |
46% |
4% |
31% |
|
(2) Survey USA - NJ |
9% |
48% |
7% |
25% |
|
(1) Rasmussen Reports - NJ |
7% |
43% |
6% |
29% |
(5) Zogby International - NJ (870 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.2, 2008, 3.4 MofE)
(4) Monmouth University - NJ (555 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.1,, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(3) Mason-Dixon - NJ (400 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.1,, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(2) Survey USA - NJ (456 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 30-31, 2008, 4.7 MofE)
(1) Rasmussen Reports - NJ (591 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 30, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
New York
|
Huckabee |
McCain |
Paul |
Romney |
|
|
(4) Zogby International - NY |
8% |
49% |
6% |
23% |
|
(3) Rasmussen Reports - NY |
8% |
49% |
4% |
30% |
|
(2) Marist College - NY |
6% |
61% |
5% |
24% |
|
(1) Survey USA - NY |
7% |
55% |
4% |
21% |
(4) Zogby International - NY (974 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.2, 2008, 3.4 MofE)
(3) Rasmussen Reports - NY (524 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb. 1, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(2) Marist College - NY (390 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb. 1, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(1) Survey USA - NY (462 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 30-31, 2008, 4.6 MofE)
Tennessee
|
Huckabee |
McCain |
Paul |
Romney |
|
|
(3) Insider Advantage - TN |
30% |
32% |
6% |
22% |
|
(2) Rasmussen Reports - TN |
23% |
32% |
8% |
29% |
|
(1) Insider Advantage - TN |
25% |
33% |
9% |
18% |
(3) Insider Advantage - TN (474 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 2, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(2) Rasmussen Reports - TN (531 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 30, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(1) Insider Advantage - TN (375 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 30, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
Today's Global Monitor Polls & Research
- Opposition Fidesz Loses Steam in Hungary
- Mexico’s Calderón Keeps Strong Mandate
- Conservatives Gain, Labour Drops in Britain
- Canadians Not Sold on Dion as Prime Minister
- Support for Aso Cabinet Drops in Japan
- Colombians Agree with Third Uribe Term
- Political Crisis Splits Views in Canada
- Americans Ponder Obama’s Economic Team
Archive Search
Over 19,600 Polls
Search the Angus Reid Global Monitor Polls & Research archive.