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Strauss-Kahn Could Threaten Sarkozy in France

November 13, 2009

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - France could be in for a photo finish in the next presidential election, according to a poll by CSA released by LCP. In an eventual run-off scenario, 51 per cent of respondents would vote for Dominique Strauss-Kahn, and 49 per cent of respondents would vote for current president Nicolas Sarkozy.

At this point, Sarkozy holds leads against several other presidential hopefuls, including François Bayrou of the Democratic Movement (MD), Martine Aubry of the Socialist Party (PS), Paris mayor and PS member Bertrand Delanoë, former PS presidential candidate Ségolène Royal, and PS member François Hollande.

In May 2007, Sarkozy, candidate for the centre-right Union for a Popular Movement (UMP) and former interior minister, won the presidential run-off with 53.06 per cent of the vote. Sarkozy appointed François Fillon—who had been his adviser and presidential campaign leader—as prime minister.

Royal defeated Strauss-Kahn to secure the PS’s presidential nomination in 2007. Strauss-Kahn was later appointed as managing director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF). He is considered a potential candidate for the next ballot.

On Nov. 7, Benoît Hamon, the PS’s spokesperson, commented on this particular poll, declaring, "The left progresses, the right moves back. It is true in the polls, it is true in [people’s] opinion. It is a trend that brings nothing but happiness to the Socialists."

The next presidential election in France will take place in May 2012.

Polling Data

Which candidate would you vote for in the second round of the next presidential election?

Nicolas Sarkozy

49%

-

51%

Dominique Strauss-Kahn

Nicolas Sarkozy

51%

-

49%

François Bayrou

Nicolas Sarkozy

53%

-

47%

Martine Aubry

Nicolas Sarkozy

53%

-

47%

Bertrand Delanoë

Nicolas Sarkozy

55%

-

45%

Ségolène Royal

Nicolas Sarkozy

57%

-

43%

François Hollande

Source: CSA / LCP
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 910 French adults, conducted on Nov. 4 and Nov. 5, 2009. No margin of error was provided.

 

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