(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - The Conservative party continues to lead all rivals in Canada, according to a poll by Angus Reid Strategies released by the Toronto Star. 38 per cent of respondents would back the Tories in next month’s election to the House of Commons.

The Liberal party is second with 24 per cent, followed by the New Democratic Party (NDP) with 19 per cent, the Green party with 10 per cent, and the Bloc Québécois with nine per cent.

Canadians renewed the House of Commons in January 2006. The Conservative party—led by Stephen Harper—received 36.3 per cent of the vote, and secured 124 seats in the 308-member lower house. Harper formed a minority administration after more than 12 years of government by the Liberal party. In December 2006, former environment minister Stéphane Dion became the new leader of the Liberals.

On Sept. 19, Harper discussed the state of the national economy, saying, "We don’t anticipate any crisis in the Canadian financial system. I think there’s some evidence that credit has been tightening in Canada over the past year but, that said, I would not urge consumers to panic. (...) The best information I have (...) is that the trouble in the financial sector of the United States should not spill over into Canada."

The next federal election in Canada is scheduled for Oct. 14.

Polling Data

If a federal election were held tomorrow, which one of the following parties would you be most likely to support in your constituency?

Source: Angus Reid Strategies / Toronto Star
Methodology: Online interviews with 1,502 Canadian adults, conducted on Sept. 17 and Sept. 18, 2008. Margin of error is 2.9 per cent.

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