Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

SRBI/Time U.S. Poll: Bush 48%, Kerry 46%

October 17, 2004

(CPOD) Oct. 17, 2004 - George W. Bush is leading the United States presidential race, according to a poll by SRBI Public Affairs for Time. 48 per cent of respondents would vote for Republican incumbent George W. Bush in the 2004 election, while 46 per cent would support Democratic nominee John Kerry.

Three per cent of respondents would vote for independent candidate Ralph Nader, and three per cent are undecided. The election is scheduled for Nov. 2.

Support for Bush increased by three per cent in a week, while backing for Kerry went up by one per cent. In late September, the Republican held a six per cent lead over the Democrat.

Polling Data

Now suppose the 2004 election for President were being held today, and you had to choose between George W. Bush, the Republican; John Kerry, the Democrat; or Ralph Nader, running as an independent. For whom would you vote, Bush, Kerry, or Nader?

 

Oct. 14-15

Oct. 6-7

Sept. 21-23

George W. Bush (R)

48%

45%

48%

John Kerry (D)

46%

45%

42%

Ralph Nader (I)

3%

3%

5%

Other candidate

--

1%

--

Don't know

3%

3%

3%

Refused

--

3%

2%

Source: Schulman, Ronca, & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs / Time
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 1,131 likely American voters, conducted on Oct. 14 and Oct. 15, 2004. Margin of error is 4 per cent.

Other poll highlights: Economy regarded as the most important issue for voters. Kerry better for the economy, moral values issues, health care and understanding the needs of the average American; Bush better for dealing with the situation in Iraq, the war on terrorism, providing leadership in difficult times and being commander in chief. Both candidates almost even on tax policies. 73 per cent support assault weapons ban, 69 per cent support embryonic stem-cell research, 44 per cent support a woman's decision to have an abortion, 58 per cent oppose same-sex marriage.


Complete Poll (PDF)

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