Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

South Carolina (D): Obama 46.6%, Hillary 33.0%

January 26, 2008

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Barack Obama is leading the United States presidential race among Democratic Party supporters in South Carolina, according to a review of the last five publicly released voting intention surveys. 46.6 per cent of decided voters in the Palmetto State would back the Illinois senator in today’s primary.

New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton is second with 33 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 20.3 per cent.

In 2004, Edwards won the Democratic South Carolina primary with 45 per cent, followed by Massachusetts senator John Kerry with 30 per cent, reverend Al Sharpton with 10 per cent, retired general Wesley Clark with seven per cent, former Vermont governor Howard Dean with five per cent, and Connecticut senator Joe Lieberman with two per cent.

The Democratic presidential primary in South Carolina is scheduled for Jan. 26.

This ARGM Poll of Polls takes into account the choices of decided voters. It has been used in the past to assess the outcome of elections in the United States and South Korea.

Polling Data

U.S. Presidential Election 2008 - South Carolina Democratic Primary

Contenders (in alphabetical order): John Edwards (JE), Barack Obama (BO), Hillary Rodham Clinton (HC).

(*) Dennis Kucinich and Mike Gravel have only been included in some surveys.

 

HC

BO

JE

ARGM Poll of Polls

33.0%

46.6%

20.3%

(8) Zogby International 25% 38% 21%
(7) Survey USA 29% 45% 22%
(6) Mason-Dixon 30% 38% 19%

(5) Zogby International

24%

39%

19%

(4) American Research Group

36%

45%

12%

(3) Rasmussen Reports

28%

43%

17%

(2) SurveyUSA

36%

46%

15%

(1) Mason-Dixon

31%

40%

13%

Methodology and Sources:

(8) Zogby International / Reuters / C-SPAN (685 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 22-24, 2008, 3.8 MofE)
(7) Survey USA (811 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 22-23, 2008, 3.8 MofE)
(6) Mason-Dixon (400 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 22-23, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(5) Zogby International / Reuters / C-SPAN (811 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 21-23, 2008, 3.4 MofE)
(4) American Research Group (600 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 22-23, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(3) Rasmussen Reports (624 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 21, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(2) Survey USA (577 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 16-17, 2008, 4.2 MofE)
(1) Mason-Dixon (400 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 14-16, 2008, 5.0 MofE)

 

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