(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Mexico’s governing National Action Party (PAN) is even with the centrist Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI), according to a poll by Buendía & Laredo published in El Universal. 30.3 per cent of respondents would vote for the right-leaning PAN in the next election to the Chamber of Deputies, while 30.3 per cent would vote for the PRI.

The left-leaning Democratic Revolution Party (PRD) is third with 12.8 per cent. Support is considerably lower for the Workers Party (PT), the Green Environmentalist Party (PVEM), the Social-Democratic and Peasant Alternative Party (PASC), the New Alliance Party (PNA), and Convergence for Democracy (CD). Roughly one-in-four respondents remain undecided.

The PAN’s Vicente Fox ended 71 years of uninterrupted rule by the PRI in the 2000 presidential election, winning a six-year term with 42.5 per cent of the vote.

Mexican voters chose their new president in July 2006. Official results placed Felipe Calderón of the PAN as the winner with 36.68 per cent of all cast ballots, followed by Andrés Manuel López Obrador of the PRD with 36.11 per cent. Calderón—a former energy secretary—took over as Mexico’s head of state in December.

In the July 2006 legislative election, the PAN secured 206 seats in the 500-member Chamber of Deputies, followed by a PRD-led alliance with 160 lawmakers, and a coalition of the PRI and the PVEM with 121 mandates.

Calderón’s administration is trying to introduce legislation that would allow foreign investors to participate in state-owned oil company Pemex. The PRD and the Broad Progressive Front (FAP) fiercely oppose the bill, claiming it is the beginning of a process that would lead to Pemex’s privatization. The PRI has expressed "conditional support" for the proposal.

On Jul. 23, PRI lawmakers presented their amendments to the oil bill. PAN Senate leader Gustavo E. Madero welcomed the document, saying, "We see the PRI’s proposal as a parallel effort, not a diverging one. It doesn’t go against [the government’s] proposal. (...) We are very open to analyzing all proposals. We’re not inflexible."

Polling Data

Which party would you vote for in the Chamber of Deputies election scheduled for Jul. 5, 2009?

Source: Buendía & Laredo / El Universal
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 800 registered Mexican voters, conducted from Jul. 24 to Jul. 28, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.

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