Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Rodham Clinton Bid Gains Five Points in U.S.

November 24, 2006

- Public support for Hillary Rodham Clinton as the Democratic Party's presidential candidate in 2008 increased this month in the United States, according to a poll by Opinion Research Corporation released by CNN. 33 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in a primary ballot, up five points since October.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second on the list with 15 per cent, followed by former vice-president Al Gore and former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 14 per cent each, and Massachusetts senator and 2004 presidential nominee John Kerry with seven per cent.

Support is lower for retired general Wesley Clark, Delaware senator Joseph Biden, New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, Indiana senator Evan Bayh, and Iowa governor Tom Vilsack.

Rodham Clinton—a former first lady—has served in the U.S. Senate since 2001. On Nov. 7, she earned a new six-year term in the upper house, defeating former Yonkers mayor John Spencer with 67 per cent of all cast ballots.

Earlier this month in an interview with the Associated Press, Obama discussed a possible White House run, saying, "The thing you don't want to do, and that I in particular am trying to avoid, given the hype that has been surrounding me of late, is to be driven into a decision by the media or notions that you have to strike when the iron is hot because there is no more serious job in the world."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in 2008.

Nov. 2006

Oct. 2006

Sept. 2006

Hillary Rodham Clinton

33%

28%

37%

Barack Obama

15%

17%

n.a.

Al Gore

14%

13%

20%

John Edwards

14%

13%

11%

John Kerry

7%

12%

11%

Wesley Clark

4%

--

--

Joseph Biden

3%

2%

2%

Bill Richardson

3%

2%

3%

Evan Bayh

2%

2%

2%

Tom Vilsack

1%

1%

1%

No opinion

4%

8%

8%

Source: Opinion Research Corporation / CNN
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 530 Democratic American adults, conducted from Nov. 17 to Nov. 19, 2006. Margin of error is 4 per cent.

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