Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Republicans 2008: McCain 33%, Huckabee 19%

January 20, 2008
Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - One-in-three Republican Party supporters in the United States want John McCain to become their nominee in this year’s presidential election, according to a poll by Gallup and USA Today. 33 per cent of respondents would support the Arizona senator.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - One-in-three Republican Party supporters in the United States want John McCain to become their nominee in this year’s presidential election, according to a poll by Gallup and USA Today. 33 per cent of respondents would support the Arizona senator.

Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee is second with 19 per cent, followed by former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani with 13 per cent, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with 11 per cent, actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson with nine per cent, Texas congressman Ron Paul with three per cent, and California congressman Duncan Hunter with one per cent.

Yesterday, Hunter dropped out of the presidential race, declaring, "The failure of our campaign to gain traction is mine and mine alone. But we have driven the issues of national security, the border fence, the emergence of China and the need to reverse bad trade policy. Because of that, this campaign has been very worthwhile."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.

Polling Data

Next, I’m going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2008, or if you would support someone else.

 

Jan. 13

Jan. 6

Dec. 16

John McCain

33%

19%

14%

Mike Huckabee

19%

25%

16%

Rudy Giuliani

13%

20%

27%

Mitt Romney

11%

9%

14%

Fred Thompson

9%

12%

14%

Ron Paul

3%

4%

3%

Duncan Hunter

2%

1%

--

Alan Keyes

1%

--

3%

Tom Tancredo

n.a.

n.a.

1%

Other

4%

2%

--

No opinion

7%

9%

9%

Source: Gallup / USA Today
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 831 Republicans and Republican leaners, conducted from Jan. 10 to Jan. 13, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.