January 23, 2008

Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - John McCain remains the frontrunner in the national race for the Republican Party’s presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by Opinion Research Corporation released by CNN. 29 per cent of respondents would support Arizona senator in a primary.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - John McCain remains the frontrunner in the national race for the Republican Party’s presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by Opinion Research Corporation released by CNN. 29 per cent of respondents would support the Arizona senator in a primary.

Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee is second with 20 per cent, followed by former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with 19 per cent, former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani with 14 per cent, actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson with nine per cent, Texas congressman Ron Paul with six per cent, and California congressman Duncan Hunter with one per cent.

After the first six Republican presidential caucuses and primaries have been held, Romney has secured the support of 72 pledged delegates and unpledged members of the Republican National Committee (RNC), followed by McCain with 38, Huckabee with 29, Thompson with eight, Paul with six, and Giuliani with two.

Yesterday, Thompson withdrew from the race, saying, "I hope that my country and my party have benefited from our having made this effort. Jeri and I will always be grateful for the encouragement and friendship of so many wonderful people."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.

Polling Data

Please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2008.

	Jan. 17	Jan. 10	Dec. 2007
John McCain	29%	34%	13%
Mike Huckabee	20%	21%	22%
Mitt Romney	19%	14%	16%
Rudy Giuliani	14%	18%	24%
Fred Thompson	9%	6%	10%
Ron Paul	6%	5%	6%
Duncan Hunter	1%	1%	2%
Tom Tancredo	n.a.	n.a.	1%
No opinion	4%	2%	6%

Source: Opinion Research Corporation / CNN
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 377 registered Republicans, conducted from Jan. 14 to Jan. 17, 2008. Margin of error is 5 per cent.