Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Republicans 2008: Giuliani Leads McCain by Eight

December 16, 2006

(ARGM) - Rudy Giuliani is topping the list of presidential hopefuls for Republican Party sympathizers in the United States, according to a poll by TNS released by the Washington Post and ABC News. 34 per cent of respondents would support the former New York City mayor in a 2008 primary.

Arizona senator John McCain is second with 26 per cent, followed by former House of Representatives speaker Newt Gingrich with 12 per cent, and Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with five per cent. Support is lower for New York governor George Pataki, former Wisconsin governor Tommy Thompson, Kansas senator Sam Brownback, and California congressman Duncan Hunter.

Earlier this month, Brownback said candidates who advocate for gay rights should be welcome in the GOP, adding, "It's a big-tent party and has been for a long period of time, particularly since Ronald Reagan talked about this being a party of different viewpoints. If somebody agrees with you 80 per cent of the time, he's not your enemy."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the 2008 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were: Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Chuck Hagel, Tommy Thompson, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, George Pataki, Sam Brownback, or Tom Tancredo, for whom would you vote?
(Republicans and Republican leaners only)

Rudy Giuliani

34%

John McCain

26%

Newt Gingrich

12%

Mitt Romney

5%

George Pataki

3%

Tommy Thompson

2%

Sam Brownback

1%

Duncan Hunter

1%

None of these

6%

No opinion

9%

Source: TNS / Washington Post / ABC News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,005 American adults, conducted from Dec. 7 to Dec. 11, 2006. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

Archive Search

Over 19,300 Polls
Search the Angus Reid Global Monitor Polls & Research archive.


Advanced Search