Issue Watch
Track global public opinion on current issues.
- 2008: Race for the White House
- 2008: The U.S. Electoral College
- Abortion
- Africa
- Angela Merkel
- Death Penalty
- Economy and Globalization
- Environment
- European Union
- George W. Bush
- Global Warming
- Gordon Brown
- Hamas
- Immigration
- Iran
- Iraq War
- Kevin Rudd
- Latin America
- New Zealand Election 2008
- Nicolas Sarkozy
- North Korea
- Oil and Gas
- Same-Sex Marriage
- Silvio Berlusconi
- Stem Cell Research
- Stephen Harper
- Terrorism
- U.S. Election 2008 - The Democrats
- U.S. Election 2008 - The Republicans
- U.S. Election 2008: The Primaries
- Vladimir Putin
- Yasuo Fukuda
Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
Republicans 2008: Giuliani at 30%, F. Thompson 20%
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Rudy Giuliani is holding on to the national lead in the race for the Republican Party's presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by Gallup released by USA Today. 30 per cent of respondents would support the former New York City mayor in a 2008 primary.
Actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson is second with 20 per cent, followed by Arizona senator John McCain with 16 per cent, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with eight per cent, and former House of Representatives speaker Newt Gingrich with seven per cent.
Support is lower for Texas congressman Ron Paul, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, Kansas senator Sam Brownback, California congressman Duncan Hunter, and former Wisconsin governor Tommy Thompson.
Yesterday, Giuliani discussed his views on the 1973 Supreme Court ruling that established a constitutional right to abortion in the U.S., saying, "Roe v. Wade is not a litmus test. No particular case is a litmus test. That's not the way to appoint Supreme Court justices or any judge. (...) It would be OK to repeal (Roe v. Wade). It would be OK also if a strict constructionist viewed it as precedent."
In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2008, or if you would support someone else.
Jul. 15 | Jul. 8 | Jun. 14 | |
Rudy Giuliani | 30% | 30% | 28% |
Fred Thompson | 20% | 20% | 19% |
John McCain | 16% | 16% | 18% |
Mitt Romney | 8% | 9% | 7% |
Newt Gingrich | 7% | 6% | 7% |
Ron Paul | 3% | -- | 2% |
Mike Huckabee | 2% | 2% | 3% |
Sam Brownback | 2% | 1% | 2% |
Duncan Hunter | 1% | 2% | 2% |
Tommy Thompson | 1% | 1% | 2% |
Tom Tancredo | -- | 2% | -- |
Chuck Hagel | -- | 1% | 1% |
Jim Gilmore | -- | -- | 1% |
Other | 1% | -- | -- |
No opinion | 10% | 9% | 8% |
Source: Gallup / USA Today
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 417 Republicans and Republican leaners, conducted from Jul. 12 to Jul. 15, 2007. Margin of error is 5 per cent.