Issue Watch
Track global public opinion on current issues.
- 2008: Race for the White House
- 2008: The U.S. Electoral College
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Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
Republicans 2008: Giuliani at 30%, F. Thompson 19%
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Rudy Giuliani remains the top presidential contender for Republican Party supporters in the United States, according to a poll by Gallup released by USA Today. 30 per cent of respondents would back the former New York City mayor in a 2008 primary.
Actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson is second with 19 per cent, followed by Arizona senator John McCain with 14 per cent, and former House of Representatives speaker Newt Gingrich with 10 per cent. Support is lower for former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, Texas congressman Ron Paul, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, former Wisconsin governor Tommy Thompson, Kansas senator Sam Brownback, California congressman Duncan Hunter, Colorado congressman Tom Tancredo, and Nebraska senator Chuck Hagel.
On Aug. 8, Romney criticized Giuliani's record on illegal immigration, saying, "If you look at lists compiled on websites of sanctuary cities, New York is at the top of the list. (...) (Giuliani) instructed city workers not to provide information to the federal government that would allow them to enforce the law. New York City was the poster child for sanctuary cities in the country."
In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2008, or if you would support someone else.
Aug. 5 | Jul. 15 | Jul. 8 | |
Rudy Giuliani | 30% | 30% | 30% |
Fred Thompson | 19% | 20% | 20% |
John McCain | 14% | 16% | 16% |
Newt Gingrich | 10% | 7% | 6% |
Mitt Romney | 6% | 8% | 9% |
Ron Paul | 2% | 3% | -- |
Mike Huckabee | 2% | 2% | 2% |
Tommy Thompson | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Sam Brownback | 1% | 2% | 1% |
Duncan Hunter | 1% | 1% | 2% |
Tom Tancredo | 1% | -- | 2% |
Chuck Hagel | 1% | -- | 1% |
Other | 2% | 1% | -- |
No opinion | 9% | 10% | 9% |
Source: Gallup / USA Today
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 406 Republicans and Republican leaners, conducted from Aug. 3 to Aug. 5, 2007. Margin of error is 5 per cent.
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