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Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
Republicans 2008: Giuliani 34%, Thompson 20%
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Rudy Giuliani has extended his lead in the national race for the Republican Party’s presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by Harris Interactive. 34 per cent of respondents would vote for the former New York City mayor in a 2008 primary, up three points in a month.
Actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson is second with 20 per cent, followed by former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with 16 per cent, Arizona senator John McCain with 13 per cent, and former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee with nine per cent. Support is lower for Texas congressman Ron Paul, Colorado congressman Tom Tancredo, and California congressman Duncan Hunter.
Yesterday, Huckabee discussed his chances, saying, "My campaign is the only one that has continued to move upward. Every other campaign either has had a point at which they started slipping backwards or they have stalled at the numbers where they are. They have already had their peak. We haven’t yet. We’re pleased with the progress we’re making, the momentum that we’re gaining."
In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
There are many different people who are, or who may become, candidates for president in the Republican primaries starting in January 2008. Based all that you know or have heard up to now about the people listed below, for which one person would you be most likely to vote? (Those who would vote in Republican primary or caucus)
|
Nov. 2007 |
Oct. 2007 |
Sept. 2007 |
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
34% |
31% |
28% |
|
Fred Thompson |
20% |
26% |
32% |
|
Mitt Romney |
16% |
17% |
9% |
|
John McCain |
13% |
12% |
11% |
|
Mike Huckabee |
9% |
7% |
3% |
|
Ron Paul |
6% |
4% |
3% |
|
Tom Tancredo |
2% |
-- |
1% |
|
Duncan Hunter |
1% |
1% |
2% |
|
Sam Brownback |
n.a. |
1% |
2% |
|
Newt Gingrich |
n.a. |
n.a. |
7% |
Source: Harris Interactive
Methodology: Online interviews with 2,564 American adults, conducted from Nov. 2 to Nov. 12, 2007. No margin of error was provided.
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