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- 2008: Race for the White House
- 2008: The U.S. Electoral College
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Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
Republicans 2008: Giuliani 33%, F. Thompson 25%
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Rudy Giuliani is holding on to the lead in a four-person race for the Republican Party's presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by the New York Times and CBS News. 33 per cent of respondents would like to see the former New York City mayor as their candidate, down one point in a month.
Actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson is second with 25 per cent, followed by Arizona senator John McCain with 15 per cent, and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with eight per cent.
On Jul. 19, Giuliani discussed the war on terrorism, saying, "America is too consumed with Iraq. We've got to be patient and committed (in Iraq), but we've got to multitask. We've got to have conversations beyond Iraq. We've got to talk about Iran—Iran is more dangerous than Iraq—and we have to get the job done in Afghanistan and in Pakistan."
In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
Suppose the race for the Republican Party's presidential nomination in 2008 comes down to a choice among John McCain, Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, and Fred Thompson. Who would you most like to see nominated—McCain, Giuliani, Romney, Thompson, or would you rather see someone else nominated?
(Republican primary voters only)
Jul. 2007 | Jun. 2007 | May 2007 | |
Rudy Giuliani | 33% | 34% | 36% |
Fred Thompson | 25% | 22% | n.a. |
John McCain | 15% | 21% | 22% |
Mitt Romney | 8% | 6% | 15% |
Other / None | 11% | 7% | 21% |
Undecided | 5% | 5% | 3% |
Not sure | 3% | 5% | 3% |
Source: New York Times / CBS News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,554 American adults, conducted from Jul. 9 to Jul. 17, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
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