Issue Watch
Track global public opinion on current issues.
- 2008: Race for the White House
- 2008: The U.S. Electoral College
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Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
Republicans 2008: Giuliani 31%, McCain 27%
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Rudy Giuliani is holding on to the top spot as the favourite presidential hopeful for Republican Party sympathizers in the United States, according to a poll by Gallup released by USA Today. 31 per cent of respondents would vote for the former New York City mayor in a 2008 primary.
Arizona senator John McCain is second with 27 per cent, followed by former House of Representatives speaker Newt Gingrich with 10 per cent, and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with seven per cent.
Support is lower for former New York governor George Pataki, former Wisconsin governor Tommy Thompson, former Virginia governor Jim Gilmore, Kansas senator Sam Brownback, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, Nebraska senator Chuck Hagel, and U.S. state secretary Condoleezza Rice.
Yesterday, Hagel discussed a possible presidential bid, saying, "If I would decide to run, I will run as a Republican. (...) I think we are living through one of the great historical-political reorientations of our time. Fiscal responsibility, engagement of others, pro-trade, personal responsibility, less government—that's not who we (Republicans) are today."
In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
Support for potential 2008 Republican presidential nominees, among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents who are registered to vote.
Jan. 2007 | Dec. 2006 | Nov. 2006 | |
Rudy Giuliani | 31% | 28% | 28% |
John McCain | 27% | 28% | 26% |
Newt Gingrich | 10% | 8% | 7% |
Mitt Romney | 7% | 4% | 5% |
George Pataki | 3% | 1% | 1% |
Tommy Thompson | 2% | 2% | -- |
Jim Gilmore | 2% | -- | -- |
Sam Brownback | 1% | 2% | 1% |
Mike Huckabee | 1% | 2% | 1% |
Chuck Hagel | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Condoleezza Rice | 1% (*) | 12% | 13% |
Other | 2% | 2% | 2% |
None | 3% | 3% | 3% |
No opinion | 10% | 7% | 7% |
(*) Volunteered responses
Source: Gallup / USA Today
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 412 Republicans and Republican leaners, conducted from Jan. 12 to Jan. 14, 2007. Margin of error is 5 per cent.
Today's Global Monitor Polls & Research
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- Michigan: Obama 56%, McCain 40%
- Virginia: Obama 51%, McCain 43%
- Indiana: McCain 50%, Obama 43%
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