Issue Watch
Track global public opinion on current issues.
- 2008: Race for the White House
- 2008: The U.S. Electoral College
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Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
Republicans 2008: Giuliani 31%, McCain 18%
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Rudy Giuliani remains the top presidential contender for Republican Party supporters in the United States, according to a poll by the Pew Research Center for the People and the Press. 31 per cent of respondents would support the former New York City mayor in a 2008 primary.
Arizona senator John McCain is second with 18 per cent, followed by actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson with 17 per cent, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with nine per cent, and former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee with eight per cent. Support is lower for Texas congressman Ron Paul and Colorado congressman Tom Tancredo.
On Nov. 1, McCain discussed his views on pregnancy termination, saying, "I think I’ve been pretty vocal in my consistent pro-life record, particular in the debates we’ve had that are televised nationally, and it is a consistent record. (...) It is the most consistent of any of the major candidates."
In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
I’m going to read you the names of some possible Republican presidential candidates. Who would you most like to see nominated as the Republican Party’s candidate for president in 2008?
|
Oct. 2007 |
Sept. 2007 |
Jul. 2007 |
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
31% |
32% |
27% |
|
John McCain |
18% |
15% |
16% |
|
Fred Thompson |
17% |
21% |
18% |
|
Mitt Romney |
9% |
9% |
10% |
|
Mike Huckabee |
8% |
4% |
1% |
|
Ron Paul |
3% |
1% |
2% |
|
Tom Tancredo |
1% |
1% |
1% |
|
Duncan Hunter |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
Newt Gingrich |
n.a. |
6% |
8% |
|
Sam Brownback |
n.a. |
2% |
1% |
|
Tommy Thompson |
n.a. |
n.a. |
1% |
|
Other |
1% |
1% |
1% |
|
None |
4% |
2% |
3% |
|
Not sure |
8% |
6% |
11% |
Source: Pew Research Center for the People and the Press
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 648 registered Republicans or Republican leaners, conducted from Oct. 17 to Oct. 23, 2007. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
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