Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Republicans 2008: Giuliani 30%, F. Thompson 22%

June 17, 2007
Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Fewer Republican Party supporters in the United States want Rudy Giuliani to become their presidential nominee, according to a poll by Harris Interactive. 30 per cent of respondents would vote for the former New York City mayor in a 2008 primary, down eight points since May.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Fewer Republican Party supporters in the United States want Rudy Giuliani to become their presidential nominee, according to a poll by Harris Interactive. 30 per cent of respondents would vote for the former New York City mayor in a 2008 primary, down eight points since May.

Actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson is second with 22 per cent, followed by former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with 18 per cent, and Arizona senator John McCain with 11 per cent. Support is lower for former House of Representatives speaker Newt Gingrich, Colorado congressman Tom Tancredo, Kansas senator Sam Brownback, Texas congressman Ron Paul, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, California congressman Duncan Hunter, former Wisconsin governor Tommy Thompson, and Nebraska senator Chuck Hagel.

On Jun. 15, three Republican presidential hopefuls addressed the National Right to Life convention. Romney discussed his views on abortion, saying, "I was wrong (to support abortion rights). I am evidence that your work, that your relentless campaign to promote the sanctity of human life, bears fruit."

Brownback declared: "We are going to win the fight for life. We're one vote shy on the Supreme Court. I want to be the president to appoint that justice." Paul, a physician, said: "We should get rid of Roe v. Wade. Just changing the law won't be enough."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

There are many different people who are, or who may become, candidates for president in the Republican primaries starting in January 2008. Based all that you know or have heard up to now about the people listed below, for which one person would you be most likely to vote? (Those who would vote in Republican primary or caucus)

Jun. 2007

May 2007

Apr. 2007

Rudy Giuliani

30%

38%

39%

Fred Thompson

22%

18%

13%

Mitt Romney

18%

8%

14%

John McCain

11%

18%

18%

Newt Gingrich

8%

9%

9%

Tom Tancredo

3%

2%

1%

Sam Brownback

2%

1%

2%

Ron Paul

2%

1%

1%

Mike Huckabee

2%

1%

1%

Duncan Hunter

1%

1%

1%

Jim Gilmore

1%

1%

--

Tommy Thompson

1%

2%

1%

Chuck Hagel

1%

1%

--

Source: Harris Interactive
Methodology: Online interviews with 3,304 American adults, conducted from Jun. 1 to Jun. 12, 2007. Margin of error is 2 per cent.