Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Republicans 2008: Giuliani 29%, Tie for Second

November 17, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Rudy Giuliani remains the frontrunner in the national race for the Republican Party’s presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by RT Strategies for the Cook Political Report. 29 per cent of respondents say the former New York City mayor is their first choice.

Three candidates—actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson, Arizona senator John McCain, and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney—are tied for second with 12 per cent, followed by former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee with eight per cent, and Texas congressman Ron Paul with six per cent. Support is lower for Colorado congressman Tom Tancredo and California congressman Duncan Hunter.

Earlier this month, Thompson outlined his views on immigration in a television spot, saying, "Americans know we have an illegal immigration problem. And most of us have a good idea about how to start fixing it—secure our borders, and enforce the law. Giving up, by granting amnesty is not the answer. It’s unfair to those who have played by the rules and ignores the rule of law. It’s also a matter of national security."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

I am going to read a list of people who might seek the Republican nomination for president in 2008, and I will read the list twice. I would like you to tell me who would be your first choice for the nomination.

 

Nov. 2007

Sept. 2007

Aug. 2007

Rudy Giuliani

29%

27%

26%

Fred Thompson

12%

18%

14%

John McCain

12%

15%

16%

Mitt Romney

12%

8%

7%

Mike Huckabee

8%

4%

1%

Ron Paul

6%

3%

--

Tom Tancredo

3%

--

--

Duncan Hunter

1%

--

2%

Newt Gingrich

n.a.

5%

8%

Sam Brownback

n.a.

1%

--

Tommy Thompson

n.a.

n.a.

2%

Jim Gilmore

n.a.

n.a.

1%

Chuck Hagel

n.a.

n.a.

1%

Other

2%

2%

2%

Unsure

16%

17%

20%

Source: RT Strategies / Cook Political Report
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 308 Republicans and Republican leaners, conducted from Nov. 8 to Nov. 11, 2007. Margin of error is 5.6 per cent.

 

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