Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Republicans 2008: Giuliani 29%, Thompson 14%

August 24, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - More Republican Party supporters in the United States want Rudy Giuliani to become their presidential nominee next year, according to a poll by Opinion Dynamics released by Fox News. 29 per cent of respondents would back the former New York City mayor in a 2008 primary, up two points since July.

Actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson is second with 14 per cent, followed by former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with 11 per cent, and Arizona senator John McCain with seven per cent. Support is lower for former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, Texas congressman Ron Paul, Kansas senator Sam Brownback, and Colorado congressman Tom Tancredo.

On Aug. 16, Brownback chided Romney for his stance on abortion, saying, "He's moved back and forth over the years, and on a core topic, if we're going to lead and move the country forward toward overturning Roe versus Wade, I think you have to believe the topic yourself."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the 2008 Republican presidential primary were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were:
(Republicans and Republican leaners)

Aug. 22

Jul. 17

Jun. 27

Rudy Giuliani

29%

27%

29%

Fred Thompson

14%

16%

15%

Mitt Romney

11%

9%

8%

John McCain

7%

16%

17%

Newt Gingrich

5%

2%

8%

Mike Huckabee

3%

3%

3%

Ron Paul

3%

2%

--

Sam Brownback

1%

1%

1%

Tom Tancredo

1%

1%

1%

Chuck Hagel

--

--

1%

Duncan Hunter

--

--

1%

Tommy Thompson

n.a.

1%

2%

Other

1%

2%

1%

Not sure

23%

20%

11%

Would not vote

3%

2%

2%

Source: Opinion Dynamics / Fox News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 900 registered American voters, conducted on Aug. 21 and Aug. 22, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

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