Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Republicans 2008: Giuliani 28%, Thompson at 19%

November 20, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Rudy Giuliani remains the top contender in the national race for the Republican Party’s presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by Gallup released by USA Today. 28 per cent of respondents would back the former New York City mayor in a 2008 primary.

Actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson is second with 19 per cent, followed by Arizona senator John McCain with 13 per cent, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with 12 per cent, and former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee with 10 per cent. Support is lower for Texas congressman Ron Paul, Colorado congressman Tom Tancredo, and California congressman Duncan Hunter.

On Nov. 16, Romney said he would implement a system to issue employment verification cards to legal immigrants, saying, "(The card will have) their name, their number, their picture, and biometric information. You take that card, punch in the number in the computer or swipe it. If it’s valid, you can hire them. If it’s not, you can’t."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Next, I’m going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2008, or if you would support someone else.

 

Nov. 14

Nov. 4

Oct. 14

Rudy Giuliani

28%

34%

32%

Fred Thompson

19%

17%

18%

John McCain

13%

18%

14%

Mitt Romney

12%

14%

10%

Mike Huckabee

10%

6%

6%

Ron Paul

5%

1%

5%

Tom Tancredo

2%

--

2%

Duncan Hunter

1%

1%

1%

Sam Brownback

n.a.

n.a.

2%

Other

2%

1%

2%

No opinion

8%

9%

9%

Source: Gallup / USA Today
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 398 Republicans and Republican leaners, conducted from Nov. 11 to Nov. 14, 2007. Margin of error is 5 per cent.

 

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