Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Republicans 2008: Giuliani 26%, McCain 17%

December 05, 2007
Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Rudy Giuliani is holding on to the top spot among the Republican Party’s presidential hopefuls in the United States, according to a poll by the Pew Research Center for the People and the Press. 26 per cent of respondents say the former New York City mayor is their first choice for president.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Rudy Giuliani is holding on to the top spot among the Republican Party’s presidential hopefuls in the United States, according to a poll by the Pew Research Center for the People and the Press. 26 per cent of respondents say the former New York City mayor is their first choice for president.

Arizona senator John McCain is second with 17 per cent, followed by former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson with 13 per cent, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney also with 13 per cent, and former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee with 11 per cent. Support is lower for Texas congressman Ron Paul, and California congressman Duncan Hunter.

On Dec. 3, Thompson dismissed being concerned about recent polls, saying, "I’ve been running consistently second in the nationwide polls. I’ve been running pretty consistently close in South Carolina, so our campaign is where we need to be. I think a lot of people expected me to blow a lot of people away when I got in the race. I knew better than that and of course it hasn’t happened."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

I’m going to read you the names of some possible Republican presidential candidates. Who would you most like to see nominated as the Republican Party’s candidate for president in 2008?

 

Nov. 2007

Oct. 2007

Sept. 2007

Rudy Giuliani

26%

31%

32%

John McCain

17%

18%

15%

Fred Thompson

13%

17%

21%

Mitt Romney

13%

9%

9%

Mike Huckabee

11%

8%

4%

Ron Paul

4%

3%

1%

Duncan Hunter

1%

--

--

Tom Tancredo

--

1%

1%

Newt Gingrich

n.a.

n.a.

6%

Sam Brownback

n.a.

n.a.

2%

Other

1%

1%

1%

None

3%

4%

2%

Not sure

11%

8%

6%

Source: Pew Research Center for the People and the Press
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 448 registered Republicans or Republican leaners, conducted from Nov. 20 to Nov. 26, 2007. Margin of error is 5.5 per cent.