Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Republicans 2008: Giuliani 24%, Huckabee 22%

December 12, 2007
Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Fewer Republican Party supporters in the United States want Rudy Giuliani to become their presidential nominee in 2008, according to a poll by Opinion Research Corporation released by CNN. 24 per cent of respondents would back the former New York City mayor in a 2008 primary, down four points since November.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Fewer Republican Party supporters in the United States want Rudy Giuliani to become their presidential nominee in 2008, according to a poll by Opinion Research Corporation released by CNN. 24 per cent of respondents would back the former New York City mayor in a 2008 primary, down four points since November.

Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee is second with 22 per cent—up 17 points since October—followed by former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with 16 per cent, Arizona senator John McCain with 13 per cent, and actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson with 10 per cent. Support is lower for Texas congressman Ron Paul, California congressman Duncan Hunter, and Colorado congressman Tom Tancredo.

On Dec. 9, McCain discussed his views on Iran, saying, "Iran remains a nation dedicated to the extinction of the state of Israel. Iran continues to export the most lethal explosive devices into Iraq, killing Americans. They continue to be a state sponsor of terror in the case of Hamas and Hezbollah. (...) I think they remain a significant threat and challenge."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2008.

 

Dec. 2007

Nov. 2007

Oct. 2007

Rudy Giuliani

24%

28%

27%

Mike Huckabee

22%

10%

5%

Mitt Romney

16%

11%

13%

John McCain

13%

16%

17%

Fred Thompson

10%

19%

19%

Ron Paul

6%

5%

2%

Duncan Hunter

2%

4%

3%

Tom Tancredo

1%

3%

1%

Sam Brownback

n.a.

n.a.

1%

No opinion

6%

5%

11%

Source: Opinion Research Corporation / CNN
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 377 registered Republicans, conducted from Dec. 6 to Dec. 9, 2007. Margin of error is 5 per cent.