Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Post-War Presidency: Higher Numbers for Bush Sr.

May 03, 2003

(CPOD) May 3, 2003 - George W. Bush is still enjoying high ratings as a result of the coalition effort in Iraq, but his numbers are significantly lower than those enjoyed by his father after the first Gulf War, according to a poll by ABC and the Washington Post. 37 per cent of respondents say they are more likely to vote for the current president in 2004, while 24 per cent say they are less likely to back him.

A similar poll conducted after the first Gulf War in 1991 put vote intention for then-president George H. Bush at 55 per cent, while only six per cent of respondents said the military operation made them less likely to support him.

In economic matters, 43 per cent of respondents are more confident in George W. Bush as a result of the war in Iraq, while 15 per cent are less confident. Once again, the numbers are low when compared to 1991. 70 per cent of respondents were confident on Bush Sr. in economic matters, and only five per cent were less confident.

Polling Data

How does the war influence your vote in the next presidential election?

1991

2003

More likely to vote for Bush

55%

37%

Less likely to vote for Bush

6%

24%

Has the war affected your confidence on president Bush in handling the economy?

1991

2003

More confident after the war

70%

43%

Less confident after the war

5%

15%

Unchanged

24%

41%


Source: ABC / The Washington Post
Methodology: Interviews to 1,105 American adults, conducted from Apr. 27 to Apr. 30, 2003. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

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