Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Poll Suggests Minority Government In Canada

June 03, 2004

(CPOD) Jun. 3, 2004 - The federal election in Canada could culminate in a minority government for either of the country's top political organizations, according to a poll by Léger Marketing released by Sun Media. 35 per cent of respondents would vote for the ruling Liberal party, while 30 per cent would support the Conservatives.

Canadian voters will renew the House of Commons on Jun. 28. The Liberals achieved three straight majority governments under Jean Chrétien in 1993, 1997 and 2000. Current prime minister Paul Martin leads the ruling political organization into a federal election for the first time.

The Liberals have lost 14 points since January. Support for the ruling party was affected after a controversy over the federal sponsorship program, initiated under Chrétien. Auditor-general Sheila Fraser concluded in a report released on Feb. 10 that approximately $75 million U.S. of the program's $188 million U.S. budget was siphoned by advertising firms with strong ties to the Canadian government.

The New Democratic Party (NDP) is third with 17 per cent, followed by the Bloc Québécois with 12 per cent and the Green party with five per cent.

Yesterday, Conservative leader Stephen Harper vowed to reduce corporate taxes only if Canadian businesses are willing to stop receiving government subsidies.

Polling Data

If the federal election were held today, what party would you vote for?

May 2004

Jan. 2004

Liberal

35%

49%

Conservative

30%

21%

New Democratic Party

17%

15%

Bloc Québécois

12%

11%

Green

5%

--

Source: Léger Marketing / Sun Media
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 3,107 Canadian voters, conducted from May 27 to May 31, 2004. Margin of error is 1.8 per cent.

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