Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Opposition Can’t Topple Chávez, Venezuelans Say

June 09, 2003

(CPOD) Jun. 9, 2003 - Removing President Hugo Chávez from office still seems a distant possibility for Venezuelans, according to a poll by Datanalisis. Only 35.3 per cent of respondents believe the efforts to dismiss Chávez will be successful.

After six months of uncertainty and violence, the government finally agreed to hold a referendum over Chávez's mandate. The Venezuelan constitution permits such a measure once a president is halfway through his term. A coalition of business leaders, labor unions and opposition parties was assembled under the name Democratic Coordination (CD) to oversee the process.

A referendum can only be held if the signatures of 20 per cent of registered voters—about 2.4 million people—are collected. Opposition parties claim to have amassed 3 million signatures so far, but the government alleges that the process cannot begin until Aug. 19, when the president is officially halfway through his term. 65.5 per cent of respondents believe Chávez will try to block the referendum to remain in office.

Polling Data

Is the Democratic Coordination (CD) capable of removing Hugo Chávez from office?

Yes

35.5%

No

59.3%

Don't know

5.2%

Do you think Chávez will try to block the referendum?

Yes

65.5%

No

28.6%


Source: Datanalisis
Methodology: Interviews to 1,000 Venezuelan citizens, conducted from May 2 to May 6, 2003. Margin of error is 3.09 per cent.

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