Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

One Year Later, Bush and Kerry Would Tie

November 01, 2005

(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Adults in the United States are evenly split in their current assessment of last year's presidential candidates, according to a poll by Opinion Dynamics released by Fox News. 44 per cent of respondents would vote for Republican George W. Bush, while 44 per cent would support Democrat John Kerry.

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the U.S. Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia. As far as the popular vote is concerned, Bush garnered 51.03 per cent of all cast ballots, with Kerry getting 48.04 per cent.

The poll shows that six per cent of respondents who voted for Bush in November 2004 would now cast a ballot for the Democratic nominee, while three per cent of those who supported Kerry a year ago would now back the Republican.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If you were given the opportunity to re-vote the 2004 presidential race, considering all the issues facing the country today would you vote for Republican George W. Bush or Democrat John Kerry?

 

All

Voted
for Bush

Voted
for Kerry

George W. Bush (R)

44%

86%

3%

John Kerry (D)

44%

6%

88%

Other

2%

1%

3%

Neither / Would not vote

5%

3%

4%

Don't know / Refused

4%

3%

3%

Source: Opinion Dynamics / Fox News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 900 registered American voters, conducted on Oct. 25 and Oct. 26, 2005. Margin of error is 4 per cent.

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