Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Obama Leads McCain, Huckabee in U.S. Race

February 19, 2008
Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Barack Obama is the most popular presidential contender in the United States, according to a poll by Zogby Interactive. At least 47 per cent of respondents would vote for the Illinois senator in head-to-head contests against two Republican candidates.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Barack Obama is the most popular presidential contender in the United States, according to a poll by Zogby Interactive. At least 47 per cent of respondents would vote for the Illinois senator in head-to-head contests against two Republican candidates.

Obama holds an 11-point lead over Arizona senator John McCain, and a 15-point advantage over former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee. In separate contests, New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton leads Huckabee by three points, and trails McCain by five points.

On Feb. 17, McCain referred to the Democratic candidates, saying, "I can out-campaign them, and I can out-debate them, and I can out-perform them. (...) We’ve got to reunite the party, and we’ve got to re-energize the party. And I’m prepared to do that. We’ve got plenty of time. But I won’t waste a day."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.

Polling Data

Possible match-ups - 2008 U.S. presidential election

McCain v. Obama

 

Feb. 2008

Nov. 2007

Barack Obama (D)

47%

45%

John McCain (R)

36%

38%

Someone else / Not sure

17%

17%

Huckabee v. Obama

 

Feb. 2008

Nov. 2007

Barack Obama (D)

49%

46%

Mike Huckabee (R)

34%

40%

Someone else / Not sure

17%

14%

McCain v. Rodham Clinton

 

Feb. 2008

Nov. 2007

John McCain (R)

42%

42%

Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

37%

38%

Someone else / Not sure

21%

20%

Huckabee v. Rodham Clinton

 

Feb. 2008

Nov. 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

40%

39%

Mike Huckabee (R)

37%

44%

Someone else / Not sure

22%

17%

Source: Zogby Interactive
Methodology: Online interviews with 7,468 American adults, conducted from Feb. 8 to Feb. 11, 2007. Margin of error is 1.2 per cent.