Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Obama Leads McCain by Eight Points in U.S.

May 28, 2008
Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Barack Obama holds the lead against Republican John McCain in the United States, according to a poll by Zogby International released by Reuters. 48 per cent of respondents would back the Illinois senator in this year’s presidential election, while 40 per cent would vote for the Arizona senator.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Barack Obama holds the lead against Republican John McCain in the United States, according to a poll by Zogby International released by Reuters. 48 per cent of respondents would back the Illinois senator in this year’s presidential election, while 40 per cent would vote for the Arizona senator.

Support for Obama increased by three points since April, while backing for McCain fell by five points. In a separate match-up, McCain is tied with New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton.

On May 26, former Cuban president Fidel Castro described Obama as "without doubt (...), from the social and human point, the most advanced candidate" running for president in the U.S, adding, "Obama overestimates the possibilities of technology in the struggle against climate change, although he is more conscious than (current U.S. president George W.) Bush of the risks and the little time available."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.

Polling Data

Possible match-ups - 2008 U.S. presidential election

McCain v. Obama

 

May 2008

Apr. 2008

Mar. 2008

Barack Obama (D)

48%

45%

40%

John McCain (R)

40%

45%

46%

Other / Unsure

12%

10%

14%

McCain v. Rodham Clinton

 

May 2008

Apr. 2008

Mar. 2008

John McCain (R)

43%

46%

48%

Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

43%

41%

40%

Other / Unsure

14%

13%

12%

Source: Zogby International / Reuters
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,176 likely American voters, conducted from May 15 to May 18, 2008. Margin of error is 3.0 per cent.