Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Obama Gaining on McCain in U.S. Race

May 11, 2008
Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Barack Obama leads Republican John McCain in the United States presidential race, according to a poll by Rasmussen Reports. 47 per cent of respondents would vote for the Illinois senator in this year’s election, while 44 per cent would back the Arizona senator.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Barack Obama leads Republican John McCain in the United States presidential race, according to a poll by Rasmussen Reports. 47 per cent of respondents would vote for the Illinois senator in this year’s election, while 44 per cent would back the Arizona senator.

Support for Obama increased by two points since late April, while backing for McCain fell by one point. In a separate match-up, McCain trails New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton by five points.

On May 7, former senator George McGovern—the 1972 Democratic presidential nominee—urged Rodham Clinton to drop out of the race for the party’s nomination, saying, "I do not see how she has much chance of pulling out the nomination now, and I think it is important for Democrats to get united to win the general election in November."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.

Polling Data

Possible match-ups - 2008 U.S. presidential election

McCain v. Obama

 

May 8

Apr. 24

Apr. 10

Barack Obama (D)

47%

45%

44%

John McCain (R)

44%

45%

47%

Other / Undecided

9%

10%

9%

McCain v. Rodham Clinton

 

May 8

Apr. 24

Apr. 10

Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

48%

45%

42%

John McCain (R)

43%

47%

48%

Other / Undecided

9%

8%

10%

Source: Rasmussen Reports
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 900 likely American voters, conducted from May 5 to May 8, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.