Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Obama Ahead, Many Undecided in U.S. Race

July 12, 2008

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Barack Obama is leading Republican John McCain in this year’s United States presidential race, according to a poll by McLaughlin & Associates. 46 per cent of respondents would vote for the Illinois senator, while 38 per cent would support the Arizona senator.

16 per cent of respondents are undecided.

On Jul. 10, Obama discussed his views on gender equality, saying, "We take it for granted that women are the backbone of our families, but we too often ignore the fact that women are also the backbone of our middle class. And we won’t truly have an economy that puts the needs of the middle class first until we ensure that when it comes to pay and benefits at work, women are treated like equal partners."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.

Polling Data

If the election for president were held today, and the candidates were John McCain, the Republican candidate, and Barack Obama, the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? (Leaners included)

Barack Obama (D)

46%

John McCain (R)

38%

Unsure

16%

Source: McLaughlin & Associates
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,000 likely American voters, conducted from Jun. 26 to Jun. 29, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

 

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