Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

New Jersey Primary: Wins for McCain and Hillary

February 05, 2008

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Voting intention surveys conducted in the Garden State place John McCain as the definite frontrunner in today’s United States presidential primary.

In the nine polls of Republican Party voters, the Arizona senator is in first place with the support of at least 43 per cent of respondents. Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney stands below the 33 per cent mark, while support is decidedly lower for former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee and Texas congressman Ron Paul.

Among Democratic Party voters, New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton is ahead in seven surveys, while the final study by Zogby International placed her in a tie with Illinois senator Barack Obama.

In all, 21 states will hold Republican primaries or caucuses today, choosing 41 per cent of all delegates. The Democratic primaries or caucuses will be held in 22 states, American Samoa and "Democrats Abroad", choosing 52 per cent of all pledged delegates.

Polling Data

U.S. Presidential Election 2008 - New Jersey Primary

Republican Party

Contenders (in alphabetical order): Mike Huckabee, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney.

New Jersey

 

Huckabee

McCain

Paul

Romney

(9) Zogby International

7%

52%

4%

26%

(8) Survey USA

7%

54%

6%

25%

(7) Strategic Vision

10%

55%

4%

25%

(6) Zogby International

7%

54%

4%

23%

(5) Quinnipiac University

6%

52%

6%

30%

(4) Monmouth University

7%

55%

3%

23%

(3) Mason-Dixon

5%

46%

4%

31%

(2) Survey USA

9%

48%

7%

25%

(1) Rasmussen Reports

7%

43%

6%

29%

(9) Zogby International (835 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 1-3, 2008, 3.4 MofE)
(8) Survey USA (467 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 2-3, 2008, 4.6 MofE)
(7) Strategic Vision (600 likely Republican primary voters, Feb 1-3, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
(6) Zogby International (870 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.2, 2008, 3.4 MofE)
(5) Quinnipiac University Polling Institute (463 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 30-Feb.1, 2008, 4.6 MofE)
(4) Monmouth University (555 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.1,, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(3) Mason-Dixon (400 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.1,, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(2) Survey USA (456 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 30-31, 2008, 4.7 MofE)
(1) Rasmussen Reports (591 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 30, 2008, 4.0 MofE)

Democratic Party

Contenders (in alphabetical order): Hillary Rodham Clinton, Barack Obama

New Jersey

 

Clinton

Obama

(9) Zogby International

43%

43%

(8) Survey USA

52%

41%

(7) Strategic Vision

47%

41%

(6) Zogby International

43%

42%

(5) Quinnipiac University

48%

43%

(4) Monmouth University

50%

36%

(3) Mason-Dixon

46%

39%

(2) Survey USA

51%

39%

(1) Rasmussen Reports

49%

37%

(9) Zogby International (847 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 1-3, 2008, 3.4 MofE)
(8) Survey USA (706 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 2-3, 2008, 3.8 MofE)
(7) Strategic Vision (600 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb 1-3, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
(6) Zogby International (868 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.2, 2008, 3.4 MofE)
(5) Quinnipiac University Polling Institute (463 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 30-Feb.1, 2008, 4.6 MofE)
(4) Monmouth University (718 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.1,, 2008, 3.5 MofE)
(3) Mason-Dixon (400 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.1,, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(2) Survey USA (950 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 30-31, 2008, 3.2 MofE)
(1) Rasmussen Reports (785 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 30, 2008, 4.0 MofE)

 

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