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NV Caucus 2008 (D): Hillary 45%, Obama 18%

December 09, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton is the most popular United States presidential hopeful for Democratic Party backers in Nevada, according to a poll by American Research Group. 45 per cent of respondents in the Silver State would support the New York senator in next year’s caucus.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 18 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 14 per cent, Delaware senator Joe Biden with four per cent, Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich also with four per cent, New Mexico governor Bill Richardson with two per cent, and Connecticut senator Chris Dodd also with two per cent.

In a survey by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. released by the Las Vegas Review-Journal, Rodham Clinton is first with 34 per cent, followed by Obama with 26 per cent. The remaining contenders are in single digits.

In 2004, Massachusetts senator John Kerry won the Democratic Nevada caucus with 63 per cent of the local delegates, followed by former Vermont governor Howard Dean with 17 per cent, Edwards with 10 per cent, Kucinich with seven per cent, and reverend Al Sharpton with one per cent.

The Republican presidential caucus in Nevada is tentatively scheduled for Jan. 19, 2008.

Polling Data

U.S. Presidential Election 2008 - Nevada Democratic Caucus

Contenders (in alphabetical order): Joe Biden (JB), Chris Dodd (CD), John Edwards (JE), Mike Gravel (MG), Dennis Kucinich (DK), Barack Obama (BO), Bill Richardson (BR), Hillary Rodham Clinton (HC).

 

HC

BO

JE

BR

JB

DK

CD

MG

(5) American Research Group 45% 18% 14% 2% 4% 4% 2% --
(4) Mason-Dixon 34% 26% 9% 7% 4% 2% -- --
(3) Research 2000 45% 20% 12% 8% 3% 3% 1% 1%
(2) Opinion Research Corp. 51% 23% 11% 5% 4% 1% -- 1%

(1) Zogby International

37%

19%

15%

6%

2%

2%

--

--

Methodology and Sources:

(5) American Research Group (600 likely Democratic caucus voters, Dec. 1-6, 2007, 4 MofE)
(4) Mason-Dixon / Las Vegas Review-Journal (300 likely Democratic primary voters, Dec. 3-5, 2007, 6.0 MofE)
(3) Research 2000 (400 likely Democratic caucus voters, Nov. 16-19, 2007, 5 MofE)
(2) Opinion Research Corporation (389 likely Democratic caucus voters, Nov. 9-13, 2007, 5.0 MofE)
(1) Zogby International (506 likely Democratic caucus voters, Nov. 9-10, 2007, 4.5 MofE)