Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Most Americans Stick To Last November’s Choices

April 28, 2005

(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Many voters in the United States would not alter their vote if a new presidential election took place soon, according to a poll by Zogby International. 45 per cent of respondents would vote for Republican George W. Bush again, while 39 per cent would support Democratic nominee John Kerry.

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. Last November, Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Four per cent of respondents say they would alter their vote to support a third party candidate in a new election. Less than one per cent of all ballots cast in the last U.S. presidential election went to someone other than Bush or Kerry.

Bush is constitutionally ineligible for a third term in office. On a Jan. 30 interview with NBC's Tim Russert, Kerry expressed satisfaction with his campaign, saying, "I won the youth vote. I won the independent vote. I won the moderate vote. If you take half the people at an Ohio State football game on Saturday afternoon and they were to have voted the other way, you and I would be having a discussion today about my State of the Union speech."

Polling Data

If you could vote again in the most recent presidential election this past November, would you vote again for George W. Bush, would you vote again for John Kerry, would you vote again for a third party candidate, would you change your vote to George W. Bush, would you change your vote to John Kerry, would you change your vote to a third party candidate, or would you not vote?

 

Apr. 2005

Feb. 2005

Vote again for Bush

45%

45%

Vote again for Kerry

39%

40%

Vote again for third party

2%

2%

Change vote for Bush

1%

1%

Change vote for Kerry

1%

2%

Change vote for third party

4%

5%

Would not vote

2%

2%

Did not vote in November /
Could not vote in November

2%

--

Not sure

4%

4%

Source: Zogby International
Methodology: Interviews to 1,011 likely American voters, conducted from Apr. 15 to Apr. 19, 2005. Margin of error is 3.2 per cent.

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