Issue Watch
Track global public opinion on current issues.
- 2008: Race for the White House
- 2008: The U.S. Electoral College
- Abortion
- Africa
- Angela Merkel
- Death Penalty
- Economy and Globalization
- Environment
- European Union
- George W. Bush
- Global Warming
- Gordon Brown
- Hamas
- Immigration
- Iran
- Iraq War
- Kevin Rudd
- Latin America
- New Zealand Election 2008
- Nicolas Sarkozy
- North Korea
- Oil and Gas
- Same-Sex Marriage
- Silvio Berlusconi
- Stem Cell Research
- Stephen Harper
- Terrorism
- U.S. Election 2008 - The Democrats
- U.S. Election 2008 - The Republicans
- U.S. Election 2008: The Primaries
- Vladimir Putin
- Yasuo Fukuda
Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
Most Americans Stick To Last November’s Choices
(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Many voters in the United States would not alter their vote if a new presidential election took place soon, according to a poll by Zogby International. 45 per cent of respondents would vote for Republican George W. Bush again, while 39 per cent would support Democratic nominee John Kerry.
In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. Last November, Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.
Four per cent of respondents say they would alter their vote to support a third party candidate in a new election. Less than one per cent of all ballots cast in the last U.S. presidential election went to someone other than Bush or Kerry.
Bush is constitutionally ineligible for a third term in office. On a Jan. 30 interview with NBC's Tim Russert, Kerry expressed satisfaction with his campaign, saying, "I won the youth vote. I won the independent vote. I won the moderate vote. If you take half the people at an Ohio State football game on Saturday afternoon and they were to have voted the other way, you and I would be having a discussion today about my State of the Union speech."
Polling Data
If you could vote again in the most recent presidential election this past November, would you vote again for George W. Bush, would you vote again for John Kerry, would you vote again for a third party candidate, would you change your vote to George W. Bush, would you change your vote to John Kerry, would you change your vote to a third party candidate, or would you not vote?
Apr. 2005 | Feb. 2005 | |
Vote again for Bush | 45% | 45% |
Vote again for Kerry | 39% | 40% |
Vote again for third party | 2% | 2% |
Change vote for Bush | 1% | 1% |
Change vote for Kerry | 1% | 2% |
Change vote for third party | 4% | 5% |
Would not vote | 2% | 2% |
Did not vote in November / | 2% | -- |
Not sure | 4% | 4% |
Source: Zogby International
Methodology: Interviews to 1,011 likely American voters, conducted from Apr. 15 to Apr. 19, 2005. Margin of error is 3.2 per cent.
Today's Global Monitor Polls & Research
- New Jersey: Obama 50%, McCain 42%
- Florida: Obama 50%, McCain 47%
- Ohio: Obama 49%, McCain 44%
- Czech Still Want Vote on U.S. Missile Deal
- Swedish Opposition Keeps Comfortable Lead
- Belarusians Talk of Fear of Expression
- Two-in-Three Americans Dissatisfied with Bush
- Wisconsin: Obama 54%, McCain 44%
- Michigan: Obama 56%, McCain 40%
- Virginia: Obama 51%, McCain 43%
- Indiana: McCain 50%, Obama 43%
- Most in Corsica Oppose Independence
- Reform Party Leads All in Estonia
- PASOK, Governing ND Tied in Greece
- Pro-European GERB Remains First in Bulgaria
Archive Search
Over 19,300 Polls
Search the Angus Reid Global Monitor Polls & Research archive.