February 05, 2008

Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Voting intention surveys conducted in the Show Me State suggest a slight advantage for John McCain in today’s United States presidential primary.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Voting intention surveys conducted in the Show Me State suggest a slight advantage for John McCain in today’s United States presidential primary.

In the seven polls of Republican Party voters, the Arizona senator is in first place with the support of at least 29 per cent of respondents. Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee is ahead in the study by American Research Group. In the other surveys, Huckabee and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney fight for second place barely behind McCain, while Texas congressman Ron Paul stands below the seven per cent mark.

Among Democratic Party voters, New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton is clearly ahead in three polls, while the final studies by Zogby International and American Research Group give Illinois senator Barack Obama the upper hand.

In all, 21 states will hold Republican primaries or caucuses today, choosing 41 per cent of all delegates. The Democratic primaries or caucuses will be held in 22 states, American Samoa and "Democrats Abroad", choosing 52 per cent of all pledged delegates.

Polling Data

U.S. Presidential Election 2008 - Missouri Primary

Republican Party

Contenders (in alphabetical order): Mike Huckabee, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney.

Missouri

	Huckabee	McCain	Paul	Romney
(7) Survey USA	31%	33%	6%	28%
(6) Zogby International	27%	35%	5%	24%
(5) Zogby International	27%	36%	4%	22%
(4) American Research Group	31%	29%	4%	27%
(3) Mason-Dixon	27%	37%	1%	24%
(2) Rasmussen Reports	29%	32%	5%	28%
(1) SurveyUSA	28%	34%	5%	30%

(7) Survey USA (542 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 2-3, 2008, 4.3 MofE)
(6) Zogby International (868 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 1-3 2008, 3.4 MofE)
(5) Zogby International (868 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.2, 2008, 3.4 MofE)
(4) American Research Group (600 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb. 1, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(3) Mason-Dixon (400 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.1,, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(2) Rasmussen Reports (593 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(1) SurveyUSA (505 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 30-31, 2008, 4.5 MofE)

Democratic Party

Contenders (in alphabetical order): Hillary Rodham Clinton, Barack Obama

Missouri

	Clinton	Obama
(6) Survey USA	54%	43%
(5) Zogby International	42%	47%
(4) Zogby International	44%	43%
(4) American Research Group	42%	44%
(3) Mason-Dixon	47%	41%
(2) Rasmussen Reports	47%	39%
(1) SurveyUSA	48%	44%

(7) Survey USA (671 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 2-3, 2008, 3.9 MofE)
(6) Zogby International (851 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 1-3, 2008, 3.4 MofE)
(5) Zogby International (877 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.2, 2008, 3.4 MofE)
(4) American Research Group (600 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb. 1, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(3) Mason-Dixon (400 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.1,, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(2) Rasmussen Reports (507 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 31, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(1) SurveyUSA (664 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 30-31, 2008, 3.9 MofE)