Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Minority Likely In Canada, Parties Almost Tied

June 27, 2004

(CPOD) Jun. 27, 2004 - The ruling Liberal party is barely leading in the Canadian federal election, according to a poll by Ipsos-Reid released by CTV and the Globe and Mail. 32 per cent of respondents would vote for the Liberals, while 31 per cent would support the opposition Conservatives.

The New Democratic Party (NDP) is third with 17 per cent, followed by the Bloc Québécois with 12 per cent and the Green party with six per cent.

Canadian voters will renew the House of Commons tomorrow. The Liberal party achieved three straight majority governments under Jean Chrétien in 1993, 1997 and 2000. Current prime minister Paul Martin leads the ruling political organization into a federal election for the first time.

Yesterday, Conservative leader Stephen Harper said his party has "gone in the right direction, and I think you could have a surprise on Monday."

Polling Data

What party would you vote for in the upcoming federal election?

 

Jun. 23

Jun. 20

Liberal

32%

34%

Conservative

31%

28%

New Democratic Party

17%

16%

Bloc Québécois

12%

13%

Green

6%

6%

Source: Ipsos-Reid / CTV / The Globe and Mail
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 2,000 Canadian adults, conducted from Jun. 21 to Jun. 23, 2004. Margin of error is 2.2 per cent.

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