Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Merged Party Closes In On Canadian Liberals

November 07, 2003

(CPOD) Nov. 7, 2003 - The proposed melding of the Canadian Alliance (CA) and the Progressive Conservatives (PC) would generate a close federal election in Canada, according to a poll by JMCK Communications. 36 per cent of respondents would support the ruling Liberals, a 4.8 per cent lead over the merged party.

Former Ontario premier Mike Harris --who has already stated that he is not interested in a political comeback-- is the first choice to lead the new political organization. 22.5 per cent of respondents would back Harris, while 19.6 per cent would support CA leader Stephen Harper. The two right-wing parties must ratify their deal by Dec. 12.

Former finance minister Paul Martin is widely expected to become the new Liberal leader on Nov. 15, substituting prime minister Jean Chretien.

Polling Data

What party would you support in the next federal election, if the proposed merger of the Canadian Alliance (CA) and the Progressive Conservatives (PC) takes place?

Liberal

36.0%

Merged PC / CA

31.2%

New Democratic Party

10.0%

Bloc Quebecois

8.4%

Undecided

11.2%

Who would you prefer as leader of the new merged party?

Mike Harris

22.5%

Stephen Harper

19.6%

Bernard Lord

9.5%

Preston Manning

9.3%

Peter MacKay

4.9%

Undecided

17.0%


Source: JMCK Communications
Methodology: Interviews to 1,018 Canadian adults, conducted from Oct. 19 to Oct. 30, 2003. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.

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