Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

McCain Would Topple Three Democrats in 2008

March 25, 2006
Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Scan) - Many adults in the United States would support Arizona senator John McCain in the next presidential election, according to a poll by Opinion Dynamics released by Fox News. At least 50 per cent of respondents would vote for the Republican in contests against three prospective Democratic rivals.

(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Many adults in the United States would support Arizona senator John McCain in the next presidential election, according to a poll by Opinion Dynamics released by Fox News. At least 50 per cent of respondents would vote for the Republican in contests against three prospective Democratic rivals.

McCain holds an 11-point lead over New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, an 18-point advantage over former vice-president Al Gore, and a 20-point edge over current Massachusetts senator and 2004 presidential nominee John Kerry.

Former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani leads Rodham Clinton by 12 points, and Kerry by 19 points. In the unlikely event that current vice-president Dick Cheney became the Republican nominee, he would trail Rodham Clinton by 13 points, and Gore by 12 points.

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Thinking ahead to the next presidential election, if the 2008 election were held today and the candidates were (the following), for whom would you vote?

John McCain (R) 50% - 39% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
John McCain (R) 52% - 34% Al Gore (D)
John McCain (R) 53% - 33% John Kerry (D)
Rudy Giuliani (R) 51% - 39% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
Rudy Giuliani (R) 53% - 34% John Kerry (D)
Dick Cheney (R) 37% - 50% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
Dick Cheney (R) 36% - 48% Al Gore (D)

Source: Opinion Dynamics / Fox News
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 900 registered American voters, conducted on Mar. 14 and Mar. 15, 2005. Margin of error is 3 per cent.