Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

McCain Would Defeat Four Democrats in 2008

February 25, 2006

(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Arizona senator John McCain holds a high level of public support in the United States, according to a poll by the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion released by WNBC. At least 47 per cent of respondents would vote for the Republican in prospective 2008 presidential contests against four Democratic rivals.

McCain holds 17-point leads over both former vice-president Al Gore and current Massachusetts senator and 2004 presidential nominee John Kerry, a 10-point advantage over New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, and a six-point edge over former North Carolina senator John Edwards.

Former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani leads Gore by 11 points, Kerry and Edwards by three points, and Rodham Clinton by one point.

Current state secretary Condoleezza Rice leads Kerry by six points, but trails Rodham Clinton by five points and Edwards by nine points.

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the 2008 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:

John McCain (R) 55% - 38% Al Gore (R)
John McCain (R) 54% - 37% John Kerry (R)
John McCain (R) 52% - 42% Hillary Rodham Clinton (R)
John McCain (R) 47% - 41% John Edwards (R)
Rudy Giuliani (R) 53% - 42% Al Gore (R)
Rudy Giuliani (R) 48% - 45% John Kerry (R)
Rudy Giuliani (R) 47% - 44% John Edwards (R)
Rudy Giuliani (R) 48% - 47% Hillary Rodham Clinton (R)
Condoleezza Rice (R) 50% - 44% John Kerry (D)
Condoleezza Rice (R) 44% - 49% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
Condoleezza Rice (R) 42% - 51% John Edwards (D)

Source: Marist College Institute for Public Opinion / WNBC
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 931 registered American voters, conducted on Feb. 13 and Feb. 15, 2006. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.

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