Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

McCain, Giuliani Hold Leads for 2008 U.S. Election

February 14, 2006

(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Arizona senator John McCain remains one of the most popular prospective presidential contenders in the United States, according to a poll by Opinion Dynamics released by Fox News. At least 51 per cent of respondents would vote for the Republican in head-to-head contests against two prospective Democratic rivals.

McCain holds a 13-point advantage over New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, and a 20-point edge over current Massachusetts senator and 2004 presidential nominee John Kerry.

Former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani also holds a high level of support as the Republican nominee. Giuliani leads Rodham-Clinton by 11 points, and Kerry by 19 points.

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Thinking ahead to the next presidential election, if the 2008 election were held today and the candidates were (the following), for whom would you vote?

John McCain (R) 51% - 38% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
John McCain (R) 53% - 33% John Kerry (D)
Rudy Giuliani (R) 51% - 40% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
Rudy Giuliani (R) 53% - 34% John Kerry (D)

Source: Opinion Dynamics / Fox News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 900 registered American voters, conducted on Feb. 7 and Feb. 8, 2006. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

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