Issue Watch
Track global public opinion on current issues.
- 2008: Race for the White House
- 2008: The U.S. Electoral College
- Abortion
- Africa
- Angela Merkel
- Death Penalty
- Economy and Globalization
- Environment
- European Union
- George W. Bush
- Global Warming
- Gordon Brown
- Hamas
- Immigration
- Iran
- Iraq War
- Kevin Rudd
- Latin America
- New Zealand Election 2008
- Nicolas Sarkozy
- North Korea
- Oil and Gas
- Same-Sex Marriage
- Silvio Berlusconi
- Stem Cell Research
- Stephen Harper
- Terrorism
- U.S. Election 2008 - The Democrats
- U.S. Election 2008 - The Republicans
- U.S. Election 2008: The Primaries
- Vladimir Putin
- Yasuo Fukuda
Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
McCain, Giuliani Could Win 2008 U.S. Election
Credit:White House photo by Eric Draper
John McCain
(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Arizona senator John McCain maintains a high level of support in the United States, according to a poll by Opinion Dynamics released by Fox News. At least 49 per cent of respondents would support the Republican in head-to-head presidential contests against three prospective Democratic rivals.
McCain holds an 11-point lead over New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, an 18-point advantage over current Massachusetts senator and 2004 presidential nominee John Kerry, and a 28-point lead over former U.S. vice-president Al Gore.
Former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani fares better as the Republican nominee. At least 50 per cent of respondents would support Giuliani against Rodham Clinton, Kerry or Gore. Current state secretary Condoleezza Rice holds a two-point lead over Kerry, but trails Rodham Clinton by three points.
In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
Thinking ahead to the next presidential election, if the 2008 election were held today and the candidates were (the following), for whom would you vote?
John McCain (R) 49% - 38% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
John McCain (R) 53% - 35% John Kerry (D)
John McCain (R) 57% - 29% Al Gore (D)
Rudy Giuliani (R) 50% - 39% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
Rudy Giuliani (R) 52% - 36% John Kerry (D)
Rudy Giuliani (R) 55% - 32% Al Gore (D)
Condoleezza Rice (R) 43% - 46% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
Condoleezza Rice (R) 45% - 43% John Kerry (D)
Source: Opinion Dynamics / Fox News
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 900 registered American voters, conducted on Sept. 27 and Sept. 28, 2005. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
Today's Global Monitor Polls & Research
- FMLN Candidate Ahead in Salvadoran Race
- West Virginia: Obama 50%, McCain 42%
- Montana: McCain 50%, Obama 45%
- Norway’s Labour Steady at the Top
- Hong Kong Praises Mainland Leaders
- British Tories Get Stronger, Have 14-Point Lead
- Electoral Race Tightens in New Zealand
- Minnesota: Obama 52%, McCain 45%
- North Carolina: Obama 49%, McCain 48%
- Pennsylvania: Obama 54%, McCain 40%
- New Hampshire: Obama 52%, McCain 43%
- Sarkozy Keeps Negative Rating in France
- Traditional PRI Leads All Rivals in Mexico
- U.S. 2008: Obama 49.4%, McCain 43.1%
Archive Search
Over 19,300 Polls
Search the Angus Reid Global Monitor Polls & Research archive.